Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8eaaa7de83e63dc5edc93416083fa88dd7e552a46f19ad8b385d33d64b78acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3be7…ad70backed Yes | 3c | 10,474$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.29 | 134 | 11.9%16 W · 118 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 25c | 705.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.12 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 486.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 43c | 331.42$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 326$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 319.5$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 66c | 314.17$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 4c | 304$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 19c | 300$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed Yes | 4c | 288$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 71c | 287.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 34c | 280.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed No | 54c | 258.05$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.05 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 68c | 191.09$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 67c | 190.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 77c | 188.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…2305backed Yes | 13c | 178.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 52c | 173.86$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 21c | 152.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 73c | 150.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed Yes | 14c | 129.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 22c | 124.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 65c | 107$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 13c | 106.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 58c | 105.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 14c | 100.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed No | 71c | 99.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed Yes | 60c | 96.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 40c | 96.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 92.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 49c | 91.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked No | 55c | 88.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 13c | 83.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 47c | 83.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed No | 55c | 82.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 81.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 77.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 51c | 77.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed Yes | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 14c | 74.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 65c | 67.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 38c | 66.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 66.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 48c | 64.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 53c | 64.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 57c | 64.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 57c | 63.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 68c | 59.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 46c | 57.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…f2dabacked No | 61c | 52.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed No | 57c | 50.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 44c | 50.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e428backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 78c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 45.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 43.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed No | 44c | 43.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 42.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 48c | 42.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked No | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 50c | 40.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ba…1deabacked No | 55c | 40.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…3a27backed No | 51c | 39.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 38.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 66c | 38.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 69c | 36.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 59c | 34.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…9244backed Yes | 36c | 31.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a8…635abacked Yes | 42c | 24.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846b…63b6backed No | 70c | 23.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed No | 57c | 23.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 47c | 21.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 115 | 19.1%22 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 73c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 65c | 19.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 76c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…c469backed No | 59c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.