Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc162888d90d1223b5d7d2d90606804d173e6b23f780b955256d428fbe9727d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 40c | 783.58$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.08 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 76c | 667.03$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.48 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 80c | 557.42$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.23 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 47c | 530.66$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.14 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 51c | 444.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 404.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.23 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 380.29$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.11 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 371.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.52 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 357.88$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 50c | 320.69$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.34 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 17c | 303.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.89 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed Yes | 26c | 263.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 244.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 6c | 224.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.96 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 29c | 219.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.71 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 219.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 8c | 201.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 24c | 164.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 63c | 157.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked Yes | 25c | 148.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 19c | 147.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 37c | 145.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 25c | 143.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.21 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 21c | 143.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.32 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 15c | 140$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked Yes | 19c | 115.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 21c | 114.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 13c | 112.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 62c | 109.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 63c | 109$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed Yes | 73c | 103.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 40c | 100.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…5b7bbacked Yes | 25c | 98.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7565backed Yes | 30c | 97.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 96.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 72c | 95.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…825dbacked No | 65c | 93.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 15c | 92.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed Yes | 29c | 89.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 70c | 85.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 23c | 85.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed Yes | 23c | 85.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 20c | 82.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…80babacked Yes | 21c | 82.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 78.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 17c | 76.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 21c | 72.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 22c | 71.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 79c | 70.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 74c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 65.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed No | 60c | 63.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 60c | 63.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…0745backed Yes | 37c | 60.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 22c | 55.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 39c | 54.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 52.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 23c | 52.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 23c | 51.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 39c | 51.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 35c | 47.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 70c | 44.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 44.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…733ebacked No | 69c | 43.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 43.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 41.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 41.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 37c | 40.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab3…79b1backed Yes | 27c | 38.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 30c | 38.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 29c | 37.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 69c | 36.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 30c | 34.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 64c | 30.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 38c | 29.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 72c | 25.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 77c | 23.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…042fbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3e…62efbacked No | 71c | 14.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 77c | 13.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.