MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf951c4473f29052a8ccc703f8eab76c9017ee3feec51c98f98ce03097bb2a33d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Rays, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Red Sox | 63c | 5,496$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.55 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 63c | 3,780$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.23 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Red Sox | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Rays | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 36c | 2,092$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.3 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 78c | 1,700$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rays | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 24c | 1,477$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 38c | 1,473$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rays | 16c | 1,256$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 25c | 1,187$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 76c | 1,169$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.6 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 34c | 1,106$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.04 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rays | 37c | 1,075$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.75 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Red Sox | 67c | 853.15$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.77 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Red Sox | 63c | 757.06$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.06 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rays | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Rays | 21c | 586$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Rays | 37c | 500.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rays | 36c | 483.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…e3dcbacked Rays | 37c | 380$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 38c | 332.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Red Sox | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 78c | 298.11$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Rays | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Rays | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 255.35$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…fe56backed Red Sox | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rays | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 233.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Red Sox | 62c | 196$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Red Sox | 66c | 170$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rays | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…46c8backed Red Sox | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 65c | 154.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Rays | 39c | 126.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…70e8backed Rays | 38c | 117.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…36babacked Rays | 38c | 115.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rays | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rays | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 37c | 102.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rays | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Rays | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Rays | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 76c | 96.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…fbb2backed Rays | 38c | 80.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Red Sox | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…4684backed Red Sox | 63c | 77.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2210…2656backed Red Sox | 63c | 73.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…1b43backed Red Sox | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Red Sox | 79c | 58.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc2…61d3backed Red Sox | 63c | 56.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…b659backed Red Sox | 62c | 55.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Rays | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…2751backed Red Sox | 63c | 51.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rays | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Red Sox | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Red Sox | 75c | 42.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 76c | 42.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Red Sox | 75c | 38.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Red Sox | 75c | 34.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Red Sox | 78c | 33.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rays | 38c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 34c | 32.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 36c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Rays | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Red Sox | 76c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Red Sox | 68c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Red Sox | 70c | 18.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Red Sox | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.