Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9af17a846a7586749a1fe6c40b966d61adb53f2d97c01a558643d25c78f1985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,259$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.58 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 622.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 2,304 | 27%622 W · 1,682 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…0020backed No | 78c | 326.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 398 | 30.4%121 W · 277 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…a457backed Yes | 9c | 315.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.01 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked No | 5c | 315$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 281.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 5,795 | 60%3,479 W · 2,316 L | -110.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 260.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 4,616 | 58.3%2,689 W · 1,927 L | -114.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…744abacked Yes | 56c | 251.22$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 239.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 6,857 | 53.1%3,642 W · 3,215 L | +417.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 1,857 | 25.4%472 W · 1,385 L | +133.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 11c | 199.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2,252 | 56.6%1,275 W · 977 L | +64.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 177.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 5,478 | 56%3,069 W · 2,409 L | -123.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…d341backed No | 80c | 175.58$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 20c | 154.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 2,213 | 23.7%525 W · 1,688 L | +86.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…82c5backed Yes | 22c | 144.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 115 | 15.7%18 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 72c | 122.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…7429backed Yes | 11c | 115$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…f053backed No | 44c | 113.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 75c | 113.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…de29backed Yes | 15c | 106.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 471 | 58.8%277 W · 194 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed Yes | 27c | 103.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | +18.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 41c | 103.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 2,200 | 56%1,233 W · 967 L | +54.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 1,433 | 52.1%747 W · 686 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…84bfbacked Yes | 77c | 100.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,301 | 32.9%428 W · 873 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94a…d680backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.65 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 11c | 99.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21bc…1fe9backed Yes | 28c | 98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed No | 61c | 97.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 651 | 60.4%393 W · 258 L | +92.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 16c | 92.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 61c | 89.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 2,211 | 55.9%1,236 W · 975 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 12c | 87.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 9,987 | 44.8%4,471 W · 5,516 L | +258.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 64c | 80.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 792 | 40.9%324 W · 468 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 57c | 77.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 14c | 74.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 4,014 | 35.6%1,428 W · 2,586 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 73.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 3,411 | 31.1%1,062 W · 2,349 L | -37.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6215backed Yes | 34c | 72.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…cc9abacked Yes | 21c | 72.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 199 | 27.1%54 W · 145 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d9…c3cbbacked Yes | 55c | 72.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 17c | 71.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 71.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 7,564 | 37.5%2,840 W · 4,724 L | +95.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…f6bebacked Yes | 44c | 69.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 61c | 64.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 16c | 63.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 77c | 61.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 2,036 | 61.7%1,256 W · 780 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 46c | 60.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 2,193 | 57%1,249 W · 944 L | +68.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 47c | 58.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 33c | 57.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 2,548 | 45.4%1,157 W · 1,391 L | +23.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 73c | 53.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 386 | 70.2%271 W · 115 L | +64.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…bee4backed Yes | 53c | 48.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 41.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed No | 48c | 40.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 546 | 58.8%321 W · 225 L | +47.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…1a96backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…53d7backed Yes | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 60c | 30.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,611 | 61.8%995 W · 616 L | +17.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,087 | 51.9%564 W · 523 L | +75.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 70c | 28.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,275 | 47.6%607 W · 668 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 54c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 939 | 2.4%23 W · 916 L | -386.8wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 5-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 78c | 25.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…b884backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…a047backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 73c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 78c | 23.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 53c | 22.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2,208 | 59.2%1,307 W · 901 L | +111.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 70c | 22.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 781 | 51.9%405 W · 376 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 72c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 72c | 21.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2,260 | 58.3%1,318 W · 942 L | +85.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 67c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbc…f417backed Yes | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 56c | 18.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 2,236 | 58.1%1,300 W · 936 L | +83.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 17.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 5,201 | 49.9%2,595 W · 2,606 L | -161.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,180 | 57%1,243 W · 937 L | +73.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 72c | 14.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1,078 | 36.5%393 W · 685 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…229abacked No | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.