Fifa International · resolved market
Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcb12b55e7eb928596de872a9021431ad07a6f33e1347302077db2abd9f55a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 40c | 1,707$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.31 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 60c | 1,124$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.58 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 43c | 923.88$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.28 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 39c | 525.79$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.73 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…0e71backed Yes | 61c | 491.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 58.1%111 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 41c | 452.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.63 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 452$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 61c | 323.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 320.6$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 37c | 293.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.02 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 40c | 244.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…a182backed No | 40c | 243.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.53 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 36c | 193.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 39c | 189.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…52a6backed Yes | 60c | 178.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f3…d82cbacked Yes | 12c | 161.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…1bb7backed Yes | 61c | 148$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 114.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 60c | 107.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 43c | 102$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…0257backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2770…290bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 59c | 67.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 67.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…41d4backed Yes | 61c | 65.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 50.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…62cbbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 40c | 44.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e9…184ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…13e6backed Yes | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 42c | 32.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…d9f8backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3163backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…f09fbacked Yes | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb8…c3f0backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…0fd6backed Yes | 60c | 20.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…6182backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…fc56backed Yes | 59c | 18.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6e…e760backed Yes | 60c | 18.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?this page
- Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?Yes won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.