Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77d43566d3e98ba8ea667912dd2b44cdec923bfbdcc8736a6ac41ad24d28863e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked No | 8c | 1,665$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…e16bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,371$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.42 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 921.33$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.92 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed No | 63c | 673.23$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 32c | 648.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.29 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked No | 64c | 503.13$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 481.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.26 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 458.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 33c | 438.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed No | 68c | 274$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 269.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 68c | 244.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 7c | 214.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…3535backed Yes | 33c | 204.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93df…7306backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 195$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 195$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Yes | 33c | 176.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 46c | 156.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 154.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 67c | 154.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked No | 68c | 145.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…8b06backed No | 68c | 131.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 56c | 129$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…1249backed Yes | 33c | 124.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 65c | 102$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…7c71backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…1158backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 79c | 76.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 67.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 64.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 64c | 62.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 44.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…881ebacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 65c | 19.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed No | 68c | 19.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 67c | 17.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 17.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00bb…c45fbacked No | 70c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…0d5fbacked Yes | 80c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Canada?this page
- Canada to score first vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina?No won
- Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.