NBA · resolved market
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcf441ce21f09ac0a9b96b7b506ffa07b7a4b246efc6ca6eddeed8945cd0870a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Clippers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $186,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Mavericks | 52c | 98,416$51,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,152.58 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Mavericks | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,799.98 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Clippers | 47c | 43,646$20,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,144.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Clippers | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 48c | 25,718$12,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,440.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Clippers | 48c | 23,347$11,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,140.27 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Clippers | 47c | 13,581$6,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,197.96 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Clippers | 48c | 6,154$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.81 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clippers | 48c | 5,056$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.92 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 48c | 5,025$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clippers | 50c | 3,847$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.71 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Clippers | 46c | 2,658$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Clippers | 50c | 2,185$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.29 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,620$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.41 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Mavericks | 51c | 880$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.9 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Clippers | 48c | 875$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Clippers | 48c | 785$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 48c | 768.96$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 53c | 748$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Clippers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Mavericks | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 52c | 584.11$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers | 47c | 499.86$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.93 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Mavericks | 53c | 472$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.16 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Clippers | 53c | 460.94$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…093cbacked Clippers | 50c | 329$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Clippers | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 52c | 306.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Mavericks | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mavericks | 53c | 279.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.17 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…447abacked Clippers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Clippers | 47c | 189.36$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.36 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks | 50c | 151.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Clippers | 47c | 149.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Mavericks | 53c | 134.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Clippers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Clippers | 47c | 106.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked Clippers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Clippers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…f74bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Mavericks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…ea41backed Clippers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Mavericks | 53c | 99.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…38b9backed Clippers | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Clippers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Clippers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Clippers | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Clippers | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Clippers | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Clippers | 32c | 49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Clippers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 252 | 43.7%110 W · 142 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…845bbacked Mavericks | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…7a7dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Clippers (-3.5)this page
- Clippers vs. MavericksClippers won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Clippers (-4.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.