TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5e3…093b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.58
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$277.13
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+649.9%+$262.11
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.14
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.63
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+192.5%+$1,494.25
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.77
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$725.09
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+416.5%+$100.68
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$67.7
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.13
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.59
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.68
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.8
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.69
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$42.43
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.17
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Rawalpindi Pindizbacked Rawalpindi Pindiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.37
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.81
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$36.38
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+97%+$167.42
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$66.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Daniel Barez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.