TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2eb…175a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wangbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Geneva Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.14
Hamburg European Open: Marcos Giron vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Xinyu Wang vs Lois Boissonbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$27.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Baez vs Alexander Bublikbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Belinda Bencic vs Bianca Andreescubacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.75
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Tereza Valentovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Leheckabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Mirra Andreevabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Madrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Madrid Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$14.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.