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EventUs Midterms

FL-14 House Election Winner

Wallets last checked .

Us MidtermsSettled: Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 8 wallets, $648 · No: 15 wallets, $5,497 15 of 23 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x0547…fb35#10 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1577c+$4.668
0xc9db…6789#38 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6468c+$30.5464
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6565c+$3563
0xa43d…00f4#65 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2,39869c+$1,077.2563
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$31975c+$104.3862
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1535c-$15.4961
0x9b43…33ce#820 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1454c+$12.1455
0xb8ee…9e81#869 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1924c-$18.5555
0x6b25…7a69#2,151 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$18322c-$182.7553
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightYeslost (open this pick)$11023c-$109.6151
Top 51 to 200
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1050c-$1062
0xaacb…5aec#193 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2577c+$7.4759
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$38076c+$12058
0x28ca…5d19#733 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1337c-$13.3155
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$14060c+$94.755
0x67a8…7493#2,023 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1962c+$11.453
0xd9fe…db0dNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$5577c+$16.5351
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$57672c+$22451
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$6276c+$19.4450
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$73875c+$244.7749
0x3c15…45a0#11,815 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$14023c-$14049
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$62767c+$315.5848
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$15823c-$158.0443

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: Yes won. Yes: 10 wallets, $8,781 · No: 12 wallets, $1,260 10 of 22 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Us Midterms when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x98d0…f14a#22 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$3,87665c+$2,042.3565
0xc9db…6789#38 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$9675c+$32.2564
0xf440…b009#50 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1,80377c+$552.9463
0xb06c…b574#52 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2435c-$24.1863
0xa43d…00f4#65 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2,34169c+$1,051.8363
0x7e35…1a6c#88 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$22274c+$7862
0x9dd9…08bd#112 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$12149c-$120.761
0xb8ee…9e81#869 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1879c+$4.7855
0x2d6c…e3f5#978 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$2163c+$12.754
0xe8c4…395d#2,695 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3434c-$3452
0x2f26…0d8fNo place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$15930c-$158.6551
Top 51 to 200
0xa45f…d6cb#8 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1265c+$6.2768
0xa667…ceb3#89 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$1274c+$4.3262
0xd8d5…8935#260 on the boardYeswon (open this pick)$37976c+$119.8258
0xe040…824f#780 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$1734c-$1755
0x7dcf…a7bd#809 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$2549c-$24.555
0xc3cd…816c#5,642 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$21827c-$217.9951
0x7248…7e72No place on the board tonightNolost (open this pick)$1923c-$18.6350
0xeed8…35f0#11,492 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$25326c-$253.3849
0x3c15…45a0#11,815 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$7022c-$69.6649
0x1387…55f8#12,864 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$29132c-$291.1648
0x17b8…d5d1#16,313 on the boardNolost (open this pick)$3019c-$30.2443
About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.