Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x009309d3c6b04f1fd903ae34ca5db0f1f4b69b1fec62021768bcd8f237e848bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 14c | 3,143$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.8 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…5668backed Yes | 11c | 1,984$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 96 | 17.7%17 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 21c | 739.02$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.34 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 79c | 679.07$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.45 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 661.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 77c | 585.8$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 32c | 531$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 69c | 461.96$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 32c | 461.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 5c | 330.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 7c | 244.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes | 25c | 240.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 21c | 209.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 80c | 205$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 188.04$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 19c | 187.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 171.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 168$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 9c | 166.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 31c | 152.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 147.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 75c | 144.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 128.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 15c | 124.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 28c | 117.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9b60backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 15.7%25 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 31c | 99.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 24c | 99.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 67c | 94.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 92$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…0a00backed Yes | 12c | 90.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 70c | 90.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 13c | 86.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 67c | 85.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4226…18fcbacked Yes | 25c | 80.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 30c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 33c | 70.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…fb18backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 70c | 63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…d28abacked Yes | 32c | 61.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 28c | 59.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 19c | 56.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed No | 67c | 56.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 32c | 52.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 24c | 44.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed No | 70c | 42.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…fc2fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 30c | 39.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 67c | 35.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 67c | 35.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 30c | 35.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 33c | 34.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 33.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 68c | 31.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 165 | 66.1%109 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 69c | 29.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 25.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 69c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…d323backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 67c | 23.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 71c | 21.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 66c | 21.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 66c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.