Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa206d754753cd8b7f50ea69be465f286f1a3260b0ad5511f0c6dcbc67952c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 64c | 935.42$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 30c | 671.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.07 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 3c | 648.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 57c | 569.9$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.35 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 18c | 531.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 43c | 531.02$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.26 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 53c | 483.22$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 749 | 26.7%200 W · 549 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 51c | 390$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 339.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 54c | 330.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.47 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 40c | 311.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 66c | 269.47$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 38c | 264.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 55c | 216.03$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 64c | 206.42$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…14a9backed Yes | 54c | 201.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 188.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 47c | 183.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 50c | 175.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 52c | 174.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 160$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 36c | 158.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 153.88$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 67c | 150.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 37c | 142.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 136$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 40c | 134.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 34c | 129.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 67c | 124.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 33c | 120$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 33c | 109.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 47c | 108.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 98.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…05ccbacked Yes | 33c | 94.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 76c | 92.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 92.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 38c | 87.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 66c | 83.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 43c | 80.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 34c | 79.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48c…5506backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.7wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2049…c390backed Yes | 46c | 73.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 73.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…415ebacked Yes | 35c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 422 | 53.1%224 W · 198 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 35c | 72.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 38c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 63.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 62.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd478…eb6ebacked Yes | 56c | 58.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 65c | 57.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 57.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 34c | 55.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked No | 56c | 53.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 39c | 52.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 42c | 51.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 72c | 50.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0295…49d0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 33c | 48.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 47.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Yes | 34c | 46.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…09abbacked No | 54c | 46.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 161 | 61.5%99 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 29c | 46.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f8…7ffebacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 43.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 39c | 41.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed Yes | 34c | 40.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 37c | 39.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 62c | 38.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 34c | 38.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 48c | 37.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 52c | 37.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…593ebacked Yes | 37c | 37.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Yes | 33c | 37.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 352 | 64.8%228 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed Yes | 35c | 36.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 64c | 35.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 34.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 34c | 33.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 47c | 31.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 38c | 31.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 68c | 31.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 80c | 30.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…64ecbacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 74c | 26.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 59c | 24.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 80c | 22.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80c…827bbacked No | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 65c | 21.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.