MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0100791ff80206eeef7e48a44295fed4e38c27a9a51fa1a0fd760f4a1ac72b2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians | 47c | 30,000$14,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,067.45 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Astros | 57c | 20,553$11,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,841.45 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 53c | 18,939$10,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,901.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 43c | 18,555$7,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,978.65 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Guardians | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Guardians | 66c | 9,018$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.18 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Guardians | 16c | 8,799$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.77 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 38c | 8,791$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Astros | 35c | 7,638$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.46 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 50c | 5,555$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.5 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Guardians | 52c | 5,217$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Astros | 42c | 4,768$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Astros | 73c | 4,096$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.15 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 50c | 3,803$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.51 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Astros | 77c | 3,534$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 53c | 3,033$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e68…5472backed Guardians | 43c | 2,122$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.79 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Astros | 52c | 2,008$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.71 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Guardians | 48c | 1,991$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.68 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Astros | 59c | 1,551$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.86 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 50c | 1,486$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.86 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 53c | 1,379$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.62 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 53c | 1,288$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.36 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Astros | 51c | 1,271$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.69 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Astros | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 48c | 1,022$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.55 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Guardians | 55c | 1,017$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.77 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…d00fbacked Astros | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 53c | 922$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Guardians | 62c | 883.75$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 37c | 833.18$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 46c | 825$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.5 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 44c | 822.83$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 39c | 753.79$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.71 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 52c | 747.36$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.32 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Astros | 68c | 692.65$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 25c | 669$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Astros | 77c | 632.66$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Astros | 80c | 628.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 60c | 608.77$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Astros | 51c | 512$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.88 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Guardians | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Guardians | 34c | 456$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.3 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Guardians | 42c | 437.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 49c | 409.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Astros | 51c | 409.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 72c | 402.22$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 10c | 382.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfa…d8d2backed Guardians | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 27c | 348.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 57c | 348.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Guardians | 49c | 333.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.65 | 224 | 45.5%102 W · 122 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Astros | 48c | 323.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.21 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Astros | 51c | 302.6$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Astros | 71c | 299.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Guardians | 48c | 289.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 53c | 284.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…75b1backed Astros | 77c | 278.76$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 46c | 270.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Guardians | 40c | 268.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 42c | 265.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 78c | 257.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Astros | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Guardians | 71c | 249.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.24 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 45c | 221.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Astros | 41c | 220$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Astros | 63c | 194.2$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Astros | 52c | 189.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Guardians | 39c | 174.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 43c | 173.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 45c | 169.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Guardians | 27c | 132.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Guardians | 31c | 131.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Guardians | 45c | 121.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astros | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Guardians | 48c | 110.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf761…f977backed Guardians | 50c | 109$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e75…14acbacked Guardians | 49c | 105.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Guardians | 60c | 101.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Astros | 79c | 101.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…48cbbacked Astros | 52c | 100.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2492…bc8bbacked Guardians | 50c | 100.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Astros | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Astros | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Guardians | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Guardians | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.