TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GenOneof GenOne, JiJieHao
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc67f…2372backed GenOne34c9,675$3,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,370.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne46c4,018$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.065,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed JiJieHao47c2,137$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.591,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked JiJieHao45c2,090$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.263,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed JiJieHao55c2,052$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.111,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked JiJieHao32c1,924$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.067,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne46c1,875$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.772,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked JiJieHao54c1,796$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed GenOne46c1,705$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.4561055.9%341 W · 269 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed JiJieHao53c1,561$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.1323043.9%101 W · 129 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4d…b4cabacked JiJieHao53c1,544$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.873531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed GenOne58c1,500$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.982,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JiJieHao59c1,463$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.985,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked JiJieHao57c1,402$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.7615646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0355backed GenOne56c1,148$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.523356.2%131 W · 102 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed JiJieHao17c1,138$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0956938.1%217 W · 352 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed GenOne47c992$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.7639245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed GenOne47c908.41$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.6647655%262 W · 214 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed JiJieHao53c892.1$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.5343457.1%248 W · 186 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GenOne43c871.85$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.45,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed JiJieHao53c867.92$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked JiJieHao30c844.11$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.53,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed JiJieHao53c843.42$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.1982142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed JiJieHao54c677.11$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.646651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked JiJieHao55c609.13$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.352,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked GenOne45c560$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30826245.4%119 W · 143 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked GenOne39c536.53$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5312727.6%35 W · 92 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked JiJieHao43c532.95$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1481744.7%365 W · 452 L-2.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed GenOne48c506.91$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.6616349.1%80 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…fa0ebacked JiJieHao53c480.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.912347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b03…d1f2backed GenOne62c477.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.231457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed JiJieHao64c466.32$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.154,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ff…b842backed JiJieHao54c450.65$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2433256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed GenOne46c436.09$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.872,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked JiJieHao53c432.85$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.376933.8%260 W · 509 L-48.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JiJieHao50c430.74$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.166,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed JiJieHao61c423.23$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.51,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed JiJieHao54c423.13$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4910249%50 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked JiJieHao36c419.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.042,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed JiJieHao34c409.25$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.862,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked JiJieHao58c404$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.81,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…300dbacked JiJieHao72c403$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.123246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed GenOne79c400$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.943175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4114…f750backed JiJieHao74c386.85$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.275639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed JiJieHao44c367.52$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7111242%47 W · 65 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed JiJieHao34c359.51$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7411540.9%47 W · 68 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked JiJieHao48c348.57$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.21,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked JiJieHao40c337.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13524447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked JiJieHao46c328.54$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.444,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed JiJieHao54c326.98$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5748939.7%194 W · 295 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed JiJieHao55c324$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.270032%224 W · 476 L-45.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed JiJieHao41c323.54$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed JiJieHao66c290.88$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9852850.6%267 W · 261 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed JiJieHao61c267$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2674239.1%290 W · 452 L-29.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed JiJieHao15c263$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed GenOne47c261.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.71,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed JiJieHao62c259.77$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6762448.2%301 W · 323 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GenOne35c250$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked JiJieHao60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15043437.6%163 W · 271 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked JiJieHao53c248.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.969537.9%36 W · 59 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x63c6…a5c9backed GenOne44c227$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1223146.3%107 W · 124 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed GenOne47c224.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6740341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked JiJieHao37c223$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4842037.9%159 W · 261 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed JiJieHao33c215$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3251446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed GenOne55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9033050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed JiJieHao51c196.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021052.4%110 W · 100 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed JiJieHao50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5539540.3%159 W · 236 L+29.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GenOne70c179.77$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.495,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GenOne50c170.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.822,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed JiJieHao60c168$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.222,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad1…b4c5backed GenOne56c163.02$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.437751.9%40 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked JiJieHao48c160.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.252,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked JiJieHao53c159.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0859445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked JiJieHao57c157.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.252,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4b…ecc5backed JiJieHao47c114.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.817142.3%30 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked JiJieHao54c107.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.171,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed GenOne47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3827050.7%137 W · 133 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked JiJieHao53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558653.5%46 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed JiJieHao47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.413554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed GenOne26c102.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.788047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked JiJieHao45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.511040.9%45 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed GenOne46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8468749.6%341 W · 346 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed JiJieHao53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5317041.2%70 W · 100 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a0…18ffbacked JiJieHao62c99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.383764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed GenOne49c89.19$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5420161.7%124 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked GenOne46c86.17$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.171,08731.9%347 W · 740 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed GenOne47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1184856%475 W · 373 L+31.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked GenOne42c84.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.672,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd50…be4bbacked JiJieHao60c81.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked GenOne46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.214939.6%59 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked GenOne46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed JiJieHao54c78.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.411,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked GenOne47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4714168.8%97 W · 44 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed GenOne46c73.59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7837848.1%182 W · 196 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…7817backed GenOne26c73.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4625635.5%91 W · 165 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed JiJieHao54c72.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1523150.2%116 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…76c6backed GenOne70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked JiJieHao70c68.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2220250%101 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked JiJieHao74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072451.2%371 W · 353 L+29.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked GenOne26c65.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3617645.5%80 W · 96 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.