TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Emilio Nava

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emilio Navaof Tomas Barrios, Emilio Nava
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,955 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f75…af7ebacked Tomas Barrios53c11,380$6,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,023.3410761.7%66 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Emilio Nava57c8,700$4,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,768.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Tomas Barrios62c8,435$5,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,244.8517359.5%103 W · 70 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tomas Barrios50c7,439$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.188,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Emilio Nava39c7,363$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,463.484,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Emilio Nava45c6,819$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.88,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Emilio Nava78c5,121$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.521,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Emilio Nava56c4,555$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.294,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed Emilio Nava73c4,095$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.165560%33 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Emilio Nava62c2,564$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.177749.4%38 W · 39 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Emilio Nava47c2,112$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.816,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Emilio Nava1c2,000$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9804829.2%14 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+273.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tomas Barrios33c1,727$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.544,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d93…0eccbacked Tomas Barrios54c1,575$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.343732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Tomas Barrios53c1,382$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.525556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Tomas Barrios55c1,320$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.3329241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Tomas Barrios35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40087337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tomas Barrios63c1,134$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.019,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tomas Barrios52c1,054$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.197,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bf…a572backed Tomas Barrios73c1,008$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.5419977.4%154 W · 45 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Emilio Nava41c999.96$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.9885634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tomas Barrios36c988.27$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.776,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Emilio Nava65c920.56$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.515,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Tomas Barrios34c760.66$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6666139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Tomas Barrios44c684.27$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9959151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tomas Barrios40c668.93$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.828,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Emilio Nava51c656.56$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.7725134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Tomas Barrios41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Emilio Nava5c603.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.53,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Tomas Barrios27c535.76$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Tomas Barrios52c531.03$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27525556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Emilio Nava54c487.8$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.474,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Tomas Barrios59c460$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.432851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Tomas Barrios56c448.5$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.161,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Tomas Barrios55c410.8$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.122,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83d…003cbacked Tomas Barrios50c357.4$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.59100%0 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Tomas Barrios54c338.87$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.622,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Tomas Barrios33c306.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Tomas Barrios56c303.78$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8113268.9%91 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Tomas Barrios38c292.25$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11027446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Tomas Barrios20c250.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Tomas Barrios72c250$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18114272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Emilio Nava26c245.1$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.811,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Tomas Barrios41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Tomas Barrios43c235.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030653.3%163 W · 143 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Tomas Barrios46c217.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…8fd9backed Tomas Barrios51c214.95$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c77…2c45backed Emilio Nava48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339151.6%47 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe37…911dbacked Tomas Barrios76c200$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15132675.2%245 W · 81 L+20.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Tomas Barrios34c199.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.741,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Emilio Nava52c172.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.162,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Tomas Barrios59c169.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0142743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Tomas Barrios23c159.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.558438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Emilio Nava39c159.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.611,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Tomas Barrios32c159.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4427147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Tomas Barrios36c157.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Tomas Barrios40c143$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.784,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Emilio Nava22c139$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.864,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Emilio Nava40c136.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.082,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Emilio Nava77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8737071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Tomas Barrios21c124.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.163,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Emilio Nava76c124.51$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8820949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Emilio Nava8c124$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8345235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Emilio Nava50c120.48$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.481,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75ab…b20ebacked Tomas Barrios43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013440.3%54 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tomas Barrios48c115.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5649749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91c6…e35bbacked Tomas Barrios59c112$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick61cpaid-47.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6557…12c7backed Emilio Nava34c111.42$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.945341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Tomas Barrios39c106.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.221,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Emilio Nava48c104.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1754634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Emilio Nava39c100.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2369438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tomas Barrios42c100.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.362,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Emilio Nava27c99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0363746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Tomas Barrios58c94.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Tomas Barrios65c92.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607473%54 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked Emilio Nava61c82.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.48683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Emilio Nava41c80.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.297,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f1…6a07backed Emilio Nava53c77.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.733357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3d…e042backed Emilio Nava69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+42.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Emilio Nava47c71.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9112253.3%65 W · 57 L+14.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Tomas Barrios58c71.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5633065.8%217 W · 113 L+25.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b92…2241backed Tomas Barrios59c69.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.585052%26 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Tomas Barrios59c68.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Tomas Barrios33c66.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8419051.1%97 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tomas Barrios43c65.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.213,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Tomas Barrios49c59.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2923754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb9…efccbacked Emilio Nava34c55.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b60…a7abbacked Emilio Nava34c55.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+46.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf95…53cabacked Emilio Nava34c55.74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373650%18 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Tomas Barrios50c54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8739941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Emilio Nava63c53.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.796,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Tomas Barrios30c53.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9925452%132 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Emilio Nava42c51.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308643%37 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Tomas Barrios36c51.74$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3792138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Tomas Barrios40c51.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.792,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3172…e940backed Tomas Barrios59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011747.9%56 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Tomas Barrios23c50.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.513240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Tomas Barrios50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…261fbacked Tomas Barrios48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.824357.6%140 W · 103 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Tomas Barrios46c49.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.411,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.