MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x047c72df5492e4b06ecce9879631de7cc88b30b3767f072de9efcbac01d8b1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 58c | 71,861$41,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,885.73 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 45,942$19,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,329.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 56c | 31,659$17,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,724.1 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 13,780$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,928.42 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 44c | 9,782$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.55 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 43c | 9,054$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 56c | 5,521$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.76 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 5,359$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 4,497$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 4,391$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 42c | 4,310$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 43c | 4,096$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 55c | 3,040$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 2,465$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 2,307$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Over | 41c | 2,050$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.06 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 54c | 1,741$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.15 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 1,677$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.38 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 42c | 1,300$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 1,209$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.27 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 1,120$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.8 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 64c | 1,000$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.52 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 42c | 900$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 46c | 887.61$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 44c | 775.89$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 42c | 715.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.07 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 42c | 714.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.28 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 702.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 44c | 625.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.3 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 56c | 624.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.75 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 43c | 429.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.03 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 55c | 370.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.64 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under | 56c | 363.73$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 44c | 341$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over | 41c | 328$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.52 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 320$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 275.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Over | 44c | 268.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 55c | 266.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Under | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 43c | 173.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 154$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 141.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 46c | 132.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 55c | 102.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 64c | 96.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 44c | 89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 44c | 85.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 57c | 82.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 57c | 70.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 69.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 65.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 59c | 60.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 54.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 60c | 53.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Over | 31c | 53.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Over | 34c | 48.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 23c | 46.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 44c | 45.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Over | 65c | 43.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 54c | 39.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Over | 43c | 38.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 57c | 38.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 42c | 35.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 54c | 34.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Over | 43c | 29.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 27.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 43c | 26.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 57c | 26.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 45c | 25.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 57c | 24.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 57c | 22.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 20.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.