Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Xinyi Nong vs Chengyiyi Yuan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x048d68ea571f1c013949470adf5e4b272915bf452971d74012b851db0a0e0da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinyi Nongof Xinyi Nong, Chengyiyi Yuan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 70c | 8,830$6,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,186.28 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xinyi Nong | 32c | 6,332$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.06 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Xinyi Nong | 34c | 2,227$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.59 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 25c | 1,098$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinyi Nong | 65c | 977.9$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Xinyi Nong | 33c | 781.93$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.26 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 25c | 599.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Xinyi Nong | 44c | 517$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Xinyi Nong | 39c | 444$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.21 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 38c | 302.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Xinyi Nong | 66c | 290.3$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 42c | 257.39$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.49 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Xinyi Nong | 66c | 186$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 33c | 142.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 64c | 137.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 33c | 134$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xinyi Nong | 55c | 129.15$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Xinyi Nong | 63c | 112$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Xinyi Nong | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Xinyi Nong | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Xinyi Nong | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 66c | 89.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Xinyi Nong | 66c | 87.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Xinyi Nong | 17c | 85.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 24c | 81.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Xinyi Nong | 67c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Xinyi Nong | 75c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Xinyi Nong | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 27c | 60.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xinyi Nong | 39c | 59.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 72c | 57.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 74c | 55.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 43c | 54.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Xinyi Nong | 68c | 41.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 29c | 40.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Xinyi Nong | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 50c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Xinyi Nong | 67c | 28.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Xinyi Nong | 51c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Xinyi Nong | 58c | 24.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Xinyi Nong | 68c | 14.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.