TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Rockies, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,190

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5fb…84b5backed Rockies61c18,237$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,037.126157.4%35 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe818…8197backed Diamondbacks75c9,999$7,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,499.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8663…6358backed Rockies25c9,993$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,494.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+189.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies23c9,389$2,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,195.191,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks24c8,437$2,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,042.722,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks66c5,738$3,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,765.6186751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies30c4,652$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.341,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Rockies37c4,054$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.036645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks76c4,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0401,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks37c3,186$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.439,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Diamondbacks77c2,827$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Diamondbacks62c2,754$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7101631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Diamondbacks77c2,649$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.5117866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks76c2,275$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.691,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Rockies26c1,932$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.8111036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks19c1,921$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6479740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Rockies30c1,885$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.2421356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Diamondbacks29c1,556$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1520523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies34c1,463$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.5139436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.3531145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies58c1,272$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.051,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies4c1,165$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.251,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rockies25c988.31$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.3188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Diamondbacks17c915.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9114539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks77c911$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.471,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Rockies64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.252330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks75c758.31$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.8133349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Diamondbacks75c699.99$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Diamondbacks76c642$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9227751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks32c600$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.330928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf7…b626backed Rockies25c584$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4381952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…838fbacked Diamondbacks75c584$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4381553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diamondbacks69c505.16$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1663942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfceb…37dabacked Diamondbacks75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Diamondbacks70c442.05$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.3355152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…5823backed Diamondbacks77c440$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rockies30c400.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5320645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Rockies5c389.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.649824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8854…882dbacked Diamondbacks57c346.83$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.972133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rockies73c336.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9968656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Diamondbacks35c266.95$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7325835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks75c266.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies54c238.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6997950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Rockies16c200$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Rockies15c190$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.741751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks76c189$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6451955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Diamondbacks67c175.45$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.148530.6%26 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Diamondbacks77c172.78$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.047548%36 W · 39 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54f2…d0e3backed Rockies24c154$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.314951.7%77 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Diamondbacks75c130$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.53250%16 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Rockies24c126$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2419849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rockies20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa346…738fbacked Rockies21c115.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks76c114.74$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.22,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks67c112.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f3…e75bbacked Rockies75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee57…33a7backed Diamondbacks76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Rockies22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7820448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Rockies24c98.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.67451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Rockies27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.592548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks41c92.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.891,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x575e…5b86backed Rockies24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.334852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Rockies30c77.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1913249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b10…c396backed Diamondbacks74c71.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69a8…fb9dbacked Diamondbacks67c69.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.811618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-69.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Diamondbacks75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5080…610bbacked Diamondbacks78c64.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba3…269ebacked Rockies67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks73c55.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5671751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Diamondbacks75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Diamondbacks20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb1…eb96backed Rockies24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Diamondbacks54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2746753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Rockies47c44.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3769547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Rockies76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Diamondbacks76c28.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2274356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5994…a56cbacked Diamondbacks71c28.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…4036backed Diamondbacks76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e1…c293backed Diamondbacks76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206869.1%47 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9aa…e4a5backed Diamondbacks76c25.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.581758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e81…126abacked Diamondbacks79c21.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Rockies72c21.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9337552.5%197 W · 178 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…4f5abacked Diamondbacks70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Diamondbacks76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.236453%193 W · 171 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x459e…9931backed Diamondbacks65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137452.7%39 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks69c16.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.396,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c35dbacked Diamondbacks75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed Rockies70c15.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.549148.4%44 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f44…e1e9backed Diamondbacks76c13.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.