TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Swedish Open, Qualification: Martin Krumich vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Martin Krumichof Martin Krumich, Frederico Ferreira Silva
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva45c13,000$5,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,82725453.1%135 W · 119 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Martin Krumich55c5,256$2,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.242,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Martin Krumich54c5,000$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,284.6137450%187 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Martin Krumich59c2,521$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.8552661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martin Krumich64c1,709$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.878,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Frederico Ferreira Silva46c1,555$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.921,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Martin Krumich59c1,338$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.79,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Frederico Ferreira Silva7c1,295$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.528,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c1,209$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2492237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Frederico Ferreira Silva46c1,205$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.071,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Martin Krumich54c1,172$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1513025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Martin Krumich76c1,166$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.063,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Martin Krumich56c1,161$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.711,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Frederico Ferreira Silva46c1,046$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.161,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Martin Krumich49c960.2$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.251,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Martin Krumich56c892.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.851,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Martin Krumich56c853.11$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3761152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Martin Krumich55c853.06$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.881,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva5c842.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017323.7%41 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva33c820.97$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0131443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva40c688.36$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.342,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Frederico Ferreira Silva44c681.79$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Frederico Ferreira Silva43c538.77$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.17,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Martin Krumich55c525.64$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.541,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Martin Krumich55c501$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.2372638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Martin Krumich56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208245.1%37 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Martin Krumich54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23065840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Martin Krumich78c470.21$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4545850.7%232 W · 226 L-1.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Martin Krumich56c416.07$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0745256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Frederico Ferreira Silva35c410.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.824,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Martin Krumich74c387.47$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.985,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Frederico Ferreira Silva30c352.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.261,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Frederico Ferreira Silva44c289.82$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.522,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c282.66$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.210859.3%64 W · 44 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva45c259.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.543148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Martin Krumich56c248.3$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.31,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009050%45 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c216.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.787146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Martin Krumich57c210.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.91,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d2…d00fbacked Martin Krumich56c207.31$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2211741.9%49 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Frederico Ferreira Silva39c200.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.362,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Frederico Ferreira Silva44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Martin Krumich55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Martin Krumich56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Martin Krumich57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4427949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Martin Krumich55c159.62$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.831,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Martin Krumich59c146$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.551,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Martin Krumich71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8539469%272 W · 122 L+27.8wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9da9…453fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva36c140.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.278452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Martin Krumich77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8717972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva44c125.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.232,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Martin Krumich57c125.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7645751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbdfa…79a0backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Martin Krumich71c110.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.172,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Martin Krumich55c104.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251,07752.4%564 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85a9…bb66backed Martin Krumich74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.357170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Martin Krumich56c90.94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0114347.6%68 W · 75 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Frederico Ferreira Silva46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.791,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva36c85.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.432,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c75.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.991,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Frederico Ferreira Silva36c70.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4239035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Martin Krumich68c66.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.194,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Martin Krumich55c64.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.253,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ee18backed Martin Krumich79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293060%18 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Martin Krumich76c62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8892674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Frederico Ferreira Silva44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva30c55.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.631,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Martin Krumich55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1549151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd0…2b01backed Martin Krumich56c52.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Frederico Ferreira Silva41c52.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.428554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Frederico Ferreira Silva26c50.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.126,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Frederico Ferreira Silva38c48.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.423,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Frederico Ferreira Silva37c48.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0879951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Frederico Ferreira Silva25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Martin Krumich55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.652,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Frederico Ferreira Silva49c29.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d3…77a0backed Martin Krumich75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.676275.8%47 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee4…8804backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c25.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.655154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Frederico Ferreira Silva45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2514257%81 W · 61 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Martin Krumich56c22.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.943749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Martin Krumich74c21.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4721455.1%118 W · 96 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.