Fifa International · resolved market
United States to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7050059fde1b841badda480f52c780487922761605c30aa89c7600ebf74ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 37c | 23,903$8,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,833.09 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked No | 63c | 12,375$7,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,578.73 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 9,260$3,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.02 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 66c | 5,538$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.94 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 3,075$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 2,578$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.26 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 64c | 1,522$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.44 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked No | 66c | 1,470$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.79 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 66c | 1,005$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 820.43$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…5b63backed Yes | 8c | 720.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 63c | 585$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.45 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 64c | 560.47$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…5683backed No | 63c | 501$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 64c | 500.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.36 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 434.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 6c | 408$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 37c | 339$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 323.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 5c | 242$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 63c | 197$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 195$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 62c | 176.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 75.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e2…bff1backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1609…25a4backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Yes | 36c | 61.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 64c | 56.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 65c | 52.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…c7edbacked Yes | 37c | 49.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…0de5backed Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 40.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 64c | 39.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…5ce9backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 63c | 37.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 37c | 36.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed No | 64c | 23.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed No | 63c | 18.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…734bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States to win the second half?this page
- Belgium to win the second half?Yes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.