United States vs. Belgium: Second half draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd671ba2532361aae9e8c3ea6cf7e7f94c6086958874427731395c558e081c75c

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,353 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x12f9…74babacked Yes	38c	2,500$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.56	175	69.1%121 W · 54 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Yes	3c	1,307$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	64	1.6%1 W · 63 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	72c	1,105$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.46	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	14c	868.19$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.13	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	29c	845.48$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.62	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes	31c	841.63$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.91	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	72c	779.46$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.97	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x75b6…5b63backed Yes	22c	602.84$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.17	104	19.2%20 W · 84 L	-10.2wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	64c	600$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes	19c	581.15$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.42	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	68c	512.53$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.26	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	68c	503.06$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.98	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes	32c	487$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.84	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes	31c	428.19$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.74	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	74c	413.58$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.59	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes	30c	396$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.8	339	37.5%127 W · 212 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes	29c	337.34$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.83	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No	72c	295$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.05	351	36.8%129 W · 222 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	56c	280$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.07	342	38.6%132 W · 210 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	75c	255.53$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.6	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x544e…cd3ebacked Yes	27c	252$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.82	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x518f…cf91backed Yes	32c	250$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	74c	249.49$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.75	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No	60c	249.13$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.65	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	80c	247.76$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.55	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No	71c	245$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.03	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	33c	242$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.86	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No	60c	241.5$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.6	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	74c	180$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.98	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Yes	33c	168.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	210	22.4%47 W · 163 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes	41c	166.67$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.56	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No	60c	141.22$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.49	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf325…2dbabacked Yes	22c	134.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes	28c	130$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.4	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No	60c	125$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1,114	49.4%550 W · 564 L	+57.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No	72c	111$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.84	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24a…45b1backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…eaa7backed Yes	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes	34c	97.59$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.18	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes	32c	88$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.16	361	39.1%141 W · 220 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b14…8d5ebacked Yes	19c	87.79$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Yes	34c	85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.65	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	20c	66$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd2e…bcfcbacked Yes	32c	56.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	216	23.1%50 W · 166 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No	60c	50.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.33	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc43f…ff3fbacked Yes	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	61c	46.79$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.13	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Yes	34c	42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	166	47%78 W · 88 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes	34c	42$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Yes	34c	39.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.54	455	48.6%221 W · 234 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No	67c	36.09$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.91	706	48.2%340 W · 366 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes	30c	35.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	172	29.1%50 W · 122 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	200	49%98 W · 102 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	67c	28.44$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.39	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No	69c	26$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.06	344	38.4%132 W · 212 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	66c	23.53$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.9	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed No	68c	17.62$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc419…ca5bbacked No	77c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.68	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

United States vs. Belgium: Second half draw?this page
Belgium to win the second half?Yes won
United States to win the second half?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

United States vs. Belgium: Second half draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event