Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7d7b58ab951bbe377d6c24cd4797a442cfe44dfd4c56ea0136f239cdb8b961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 13,570$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 2,780$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 7c | 2,112$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…9900backed Yes | 7c | 1,773$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 8c | 1,551$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,517$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…bedebacked Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 8c | 825$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 820$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…8031backed Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…efd2backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 535.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…0fe6backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3c…0fd8backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 8c | 265$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…b265backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 8c | 231.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…f17bbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 173.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa674…36a2backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…5a5bbacked Yes | 8c | 131.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7ee8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…5032backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…860abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…ddc8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…f46ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.