Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc09071eddbccdadea7c3437788afffda006205199f98013b1b4d963707880253
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 8c | 50,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 10c | 20,435$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 13,400$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes | 9c | 6,152$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.68 | 51 | 3.9%2 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 5,948$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.65 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 3,121$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.89 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,618$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 9c | 2,142$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 2,072$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,847$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…84b6backed Yes | 12c | 1,629$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 9c | 1,250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 9c | 817.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 10c | 630$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes | 8c | 593.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 450.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Yes | 4c | 420$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 10c | 390$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…8144backed Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f740backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…9900backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…5881backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…89bfbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…e6c1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 10c | 192.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 6c | 177.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 10c | 177.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Yes | 9c | 171.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 284 | 25%71 W · 213 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…a800backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…cfe0backed Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…ec4fbacked Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f6…dd4fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…b050backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…2fd8backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…bf74backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ef4abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ff…7803backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.