Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c137ebc47986f124d7501d2763276213452c1863cac7acb24dfa994c4ca218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 78,297$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes | 2c | 17,000$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 1c | 16,765$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Yes | 2c | 8,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 87 | 14.9%13 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 1c | 7,792$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 2c | 7,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 7,122$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 2c | 5,570$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…a6b5backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,779$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 2c | 2,778$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,765$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 2c | 2,632$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 2c | 2,222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,010$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…0fe6backed Yes | 2c | 1,751$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 2c | 1,703$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 1c | 1,462$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,461$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,430$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…e854backed Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,215$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…8660backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,176$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 2c | 1,004$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…af97backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 887.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 2c | 882.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…3546backed Yes | 2c | 850$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 2c | 845$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…6327backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 15.6%14 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes | 2c | 823.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…c31cbacked Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 1c | 716.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…af2bbacked Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Yes | 2c | 530$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 155 | 22.6%35 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…5468backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 8.9%14 W · 143 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…834ebacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397f…85f6backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…04c5backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…f291backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.