Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f3bd49e712e6b1bf25b1e796e7b6036ab5424ac2cd63625461799a9994017a

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $231,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $226,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,729 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	33,912$2,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,141.04	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde32…59e1backed Yes	7c	16,225$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	6c	7,154$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.41	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd28…cecfbacked Yes	6c	5,940$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Yes	6c	5,754$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.96	156	7.7%12 W · 144 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes	7c	4,926$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.89	302	14.6%44 W · 258 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	4c	4,496$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.84	1,492	41%612 W · 880 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes	5c	4,207$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.77	121	9.1%11 W · 110 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9444…575fbacked Yes	6c	3,357$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes	6c	3,356$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.62	82	6.1%5 W · 77 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes	7c	2,880$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.08	564	10.5%59 W · 505 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes	6c	2,876$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.3	388	17%66 W · 322 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes	7c	2,857$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	6c	2,650$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.75	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes	7c	2,000$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	216	31%67 W · 149 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05da…43d7backed Yes	6c	1,724$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Yes	6c	1,724$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes	6c	1,688$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.31	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-3.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2253…4b5abacked Yes	6c	1,603$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	42	23.8%10 W · 32 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes	7c	1,319$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.33	473	21.6%102 W · 371 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9029…7c5abacked Yes	6c	1,308$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	6c	1,236$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.4	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	3c	1,079$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe1…c364backed Yes	6c	877.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	35cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87f8…aa04backed Yes	6c	877.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f740backed Yes	6c	870.42$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f50…e0aabacked Yes	6c	838.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+115.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes	5c	758.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	300	11.3%34 W · 266 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c3…8bb2backed Yes	6c	736.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	136	10.3%14 W · 122 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb712…9b68backed Yes	4c	714.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+209.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	7c	600$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes	6c	526.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	123	13.8%17 W · 106 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db2…7387backed Yes	6c	526.32$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	8.3%3 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes	7c	525.45$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.4	560	22.7%127 W · 433 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a8e…664abacked Yes	6c	520.54$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.15	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…a370backed Yes	6c	498.28$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	155	17.4%27 W · 128 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	3c	473.59$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes	7c	453.13$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.87	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f6…dd4fbacked Yes	6c	443.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…b265backed Yes	6c	439.04$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked Yes	6c	431.03$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Yes	8c	369.38$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+127.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes	7c	367.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	112	33.9%38 W · 74 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaae…ec88backed Yes	6c	350.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	147	20.4%30 W · 117 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-22%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb22f…8339backed Yes	6c	350.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	169	19.5%33 W · 136 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes	6c	350.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	98	17.3%17 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d36…9c54backed Yes	6c	349.07$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x914e…8355backed Yes	4c	348.55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	113	38.1%43 W · 70 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f4…238abacked Yes	6c	344.83$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	178	20.8%37 W · 141 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes	6c	338.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes	6c	307.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	294	28.9%85 W · 209 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8e…119dbacked Yes	4c	272$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e2…de96backed Yes	6c	263.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…aea9backed Yes	7c	257.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f7…27b7backed Yes	6c	241.94$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	176	38.1%67 W · 109 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…a800backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	25.9%22 W · 63 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…c701backed Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8327…ef4abacked Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	7c	214.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc8…9e98backed Yes	6c	212.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	7c	205$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3107…fe91backed Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…6f38backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	189	18.5%35 W · 154 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	166	29.5%49 W · 117 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes	5c	199.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd8…af91backed Yes	6c	199.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	58	31%18 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes	8c	189.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	459	32.5%149 W · 310 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes	6c	172.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	255	28.6%73 W · 182 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9c…913bbacked Yes	7c	157.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes won
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?No won
Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event