Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd929f13154809179f05e5b28d131d8466c57323a45c8bfcd042383910822d485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 25,131$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 13c | 15,385$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…cac2backed Yes | 13c | 11,264$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 13c | 6,533$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,393$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.29 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 2,977$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.6 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,025$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.14 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 8c | 1,387$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 15c | 1,368$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 13c | 1,154$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 1,079$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,032$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 12c | 830$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 12c | 829.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…9900backed Yes | 14c | 778.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…0598backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed Yes | 14c | 768$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 190 | 20.5%39 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 11c | 713.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 694.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…1380backed Yes | 13c | 656.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…bedebacked Yes | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 15c | 450$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1726backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 12c | 366$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 13c | 346.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…2380backed Yes | 14c | 346.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed Yes | 8c | 340$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…01b9backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 7c | 278.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 13c | 259.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Yes | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes | 12c | 246.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…f53abacked Yes | 12c | 241.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…de08backed Yes | 13c | 231.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 16.1%20 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…fd22backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8de6backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…a769backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 12c | 205.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 294 | 28.9%85 W · 209 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 8c | 201.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 169.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 13c | 156.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…cfccbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…87f4backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779c…b96fbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…de96backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 13c | 151.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 14c | 139.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 12c | 137.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 120.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…3f03backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…2f84backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 11c | 109.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 12c | 106.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 277 | 29.2%81 W · 196 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…124bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdd…5fb3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…f29dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…9000backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…fe91backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Yes | 16c | 64.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.