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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c25,131$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes13c15,385$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e2…cac2backed Yes13c11,264$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes13c6,533$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8416729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes12c3,393$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.292,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes10c2,977$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.61,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes12c2,025$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1411421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24011723.1%27 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+69.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes8c1,387$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes15c1,368$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6366…8c41backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022324.2%54 W · 169 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes12c1,079$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.481,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes13c1,032$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes12c830$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.615127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Yes12c829.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.620334%69 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…9900backed Yes14c778.57$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.61915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…0598backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009426.6%25 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014335%50 W · 93 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes14c768$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5219020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes11c713.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8862633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes12c694.77$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5cf…1380backed Yes13c656.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.373129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6524732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545f…bedebacked Yes13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011430.7%35 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes15c450$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.222,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b8…1726backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+57.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes12c366$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7416336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes13c346.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4533915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0950…2380backed Yes14c346.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4510917.4%19 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed Yes8c340$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284833.3%16 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x855c…01b9backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-59.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes7c278.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.422,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes13c259.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.756022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Yes13c253.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016552.1%86 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.516428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb1…805cbacked Yes12c246.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012313.8%17 W · 106 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43bd…f53abacked Yes12c241.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.945827.6%16 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae68…de08backed Yes13c231.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012416.1%20 W · 104 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0aa…fd22backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010623.6%25 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec9…8de6backed Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013930.9%43 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305012%6 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…a769backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes12c205.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529428.9%85 W · 209 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes8c201.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.212,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518028.3%51 W · 129 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes11c169.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d4…e175backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209053.3%48 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes13c156.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3753436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016935.5%60 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e7…cfccbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209727.8%27 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66d5…87f4backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015138.4%58 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e2…de96backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes13c151.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6620014.5%29 W · 171 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…cd31backed Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.520511.7%24 W · 181 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9641…55d1backed Yes14c139.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019428.9%56 W · 138 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes12c137.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5115240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036530.7%112 W · 253 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes12c120.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4392732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd419…3f03backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…c701backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x526e…2f84backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes11c109.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…2213backed Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x861b…d8cabacked Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134924.5%12 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes12c106.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1327729.2%81 W · 196 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3c…124bbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bdd…5fb3backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138142%34 W · 47 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea59…f29dbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124531.1%14 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+55%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3459…9000backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes13c90$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3107…fe91backed Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe520…e4e3backed Yes16c64.03$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.