Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba0e6401c5d7ef13dd427aa92f35c24eee077db5d2e7c81715c6a476e5e06c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 27,530$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 6c | 10,300$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.42 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…cac2backed Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 6,634$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 6c | 3,861$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.63 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…9553backed Yes | 6c | 2,499$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…bedebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 3c | 958.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…e6e3backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…1726backed Yes | 6c | 758.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 6c | 683.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 2c | 675.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…4bfebacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 4c | 661$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 6c | 583.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 6c | 529.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…707ebacked Yes | 7c | 438$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…ce09backed Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…119dbacked Yes | 5c | 415$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…1e5bbacked Yes | 7c | 401.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…4a7dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…0442backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 20%30 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 7c | 308.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…f248backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…b265backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 6c | 270$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…dc7cbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb77…9b07backed Yes | 6c | 241.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…f084backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…f29dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…ec4fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 6c | 188$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…e063backed Yes | 6c | 171.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 6c | 169.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c1…07b4backed Yes | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…2830backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.