Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65a8596696108287f1cc8749b588225ec6e3ec057a5c0d383bf7187ade0fc096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes | 11c | 18,182$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 16,536$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 6,801$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 20c | 4,019$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.79 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 10c | 2,315$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 24c | 1,220$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.47 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,053$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 10c | 921.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 809.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 10c | 737$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 639.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…f554backed Yes | 14c | 519.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…3fb3backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…e718backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 16c | 425$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 11c | 417.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 11c | 383.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 10c | 381.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…8144backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 10c | 346.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc569…63c6backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8de6backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…0fe6backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…de96backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 11c | 297.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 11c | 284.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…de08backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 124 | 16.1%20 W · 104 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 22c | 264.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f740backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…9900backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 15c | 239.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 236.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 22c | 231.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 8c | 224.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 20c | 215$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c734backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 12.3%10 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…d553backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…e6d0backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Yes | 12c | 186$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 14c | 176.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…459fbacked Yes | 20c | 175.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 28.7%52 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…cfccbacked Yes | 20c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 19.8%38 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 131$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…63b7backed Yes | 25c | 126.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…c8b9backed Yes | 14c | 121.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…1928backed Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…2213backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…7311backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 23c | 107.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…18a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf222…6905backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…429cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…0b2abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 17.6%21 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ef4abacked Yes | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes | 12c | 90.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 95 | 10.5%10 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…9daabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…b499backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 40.4%82 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 16c | 71.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…cd1fbacked Yes | 15c | 66.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…97e0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…5bd3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…287bbacked Yes | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21d…54e9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?Yes won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 3 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 0 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 1 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 2 Portugal?No won
- Exact Score: Colombia 3 - 3 Portugal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.