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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 1 Portugal?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe1c…436cbacked Yes11c18,182$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes14c16,536$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes11c6,801$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.841,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes9c5,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46035514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes20c4,019$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.7912341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes10c2,315$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.76729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…83f5backed Yes20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004311.6%5 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes24c1,220$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.47826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes19c1,200$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22811616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaef…fe3bbacked Yes15c1,053$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.465012%6 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107632.9%25 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes10c921.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1219125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes18c809.72$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.122,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes10c737$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.747321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes15c639.36$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.733,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294b…f554backed Yes14c519.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014335%50 W · 93 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7477…e718backed Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008431%26 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020630.1%62 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes16c425$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6633915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes11c417.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8935612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes11c383.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1327520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes10c381.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019825.3%50 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…8144backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes10c346.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6545627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc569…63c6backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505939%23 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020819.7%41 W · 167 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec9…8de6backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013930.9%43 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf72c…0fe6backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e2…de96backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304621.7%10 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes11c297.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…54dcbacked Yes11c284.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010028%28 W · 72 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae68…de08backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012416.1%20 W · 104 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes22c264.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d3…f740backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…9900backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes15c239.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2662633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes8c236.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes22c231.18$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.869328%26 W · 67 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes8c224.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4350833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes20c215$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8516336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e7…5041backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026738.2%102 W · 165 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d82…c734backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208112.3%10 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b62…d553backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes11c199.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2236423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfd2…e6d0backed Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Yes12c186$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1924136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011823.7%28 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes14c176.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259540%38 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…459fbacked Yes20c175.85$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357824.4%19 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5e7…cfccbacked Yes20c155$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.49727.8%27 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8431…bd3abacked Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011720.5%24 W · 93 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca15…0d5ebacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157222.2%16 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e48…c701backed Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb114…1b7bbacked Yes11c136.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519219.8%38 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes11c131$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4192732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad2…63b7backed Yes25c126.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.513212.5%4 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c7…c8b9backed Yes14c121.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175420.4%11 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…1928backed Yes16c112.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+52.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…2213backed Yes10c110$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a9…7311backed Yes23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254114.6%6 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes23c107.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510416.3%17 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…18a1backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020539%80 W · 125 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422518.2%41 W · 184 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012914.7%19 W · 110 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114223.9%34 W · 108 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031941.4%132 W · 187 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209035.6%32 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf222…6905backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9c…429cbacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1190%0 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdba2…0b2abacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014554.5%79 W · 66 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011917.6%21 W · 98 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8327…ef4abacked Yes20c97.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203613.9%5 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-54.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f0…d0afbacked Yes12c90.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119510.5%10 W · 85 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe928…9daabacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes16c71.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abe…cd1fbacked Yes15c66.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a88…0296backed Yes20c65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322627.9%63 W · 163 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7711…2efcbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e3…97e0backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41c…5bd3backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…287bbacked Yes23c60.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410741.1%44 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa98d…dff6backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.745536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe21d…54e9backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106829.4%20 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No80c31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.