Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0de111ec27f09729c506c244aff9d82141fd4bf0213341cfaac3629844ddb1c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCG Spartansof UNCG Spartans, Furman Paladins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Furman Paladins | 22c | 20,314$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.5 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0a…24a9backed UNCG Spartans | 28c | 7,377$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.15 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Furman Paladins | 34c | 4,824$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.45 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Furman Paladins | 73c | 1,922$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Furman Paladins | 23c | 1,229$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNCG Spartans | 13c | 1,029$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Furman Paladins | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Furman Paladins | 19c | 971.59$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Furman Paladins | 52c | 955.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNCG Spartans | 68c | 742.03$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UNCG Spartans | 78c | 689.91$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UNCG Spartans | 53c | 668.04$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.14 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UNCG Spartans | 73c | 632.25$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed UNCG Spartans | 16c | 630.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.26 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed UNCG Spartans | 15c | 602$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed UNCG Spartans | 12c | 520.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.67 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Furman Paladins | 64c | 513$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.24 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNCG Spartans | 51c | 475.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed UNCG Spartans | 14c | 464.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.29 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Furman Paladins | 46c | 447.35$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed UNCG Spartans | 13c | 402.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.54 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Furman Paladins | 44c | 375.64$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked Furman Paladins | 53c | 338.42$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Furman Paladins | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Furman Paladins | 52c | 291$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed UNCG Spartans | 11c | 288.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNCG Spartans | 48c | 268.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Furman Paladins | 38c | 267.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UNCG Spartans | 73c | 227.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…e4d2backed UNCG Spartans | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed UNCG Spartans | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Furman Paladins | 45c | 196$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Furman Paladins | 48c | 194.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNCG Spartans | 40c | 181.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed UNCG Spartans | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UNCG Spartans | 12c | 160.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…a4cdbacked UNCG Spartans | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Furman Paladins | 64c | 155.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Furman Paladins | 52c | 136.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Furman Paladins | 12c | 124.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Furman Paladins | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UNCG Spartans | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…c451backed UNCG Spartans | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…7348backed UNCG Spartans | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UNCG Spartans | 57c | 97.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ca…7f97backed UNCG Spartans | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed UNCG Spartans | 14c | 92.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…bc98backed UNCG Spartans | 12c | 90.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +726.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNCG Spartans | 49c | 72.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Furman Paladins | 17c | 68.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Furman Paladins | 46c | 66.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Furman Paladins | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UNCG Spartans | 39c | 51.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked UNCG Spartans | 41c | 51.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked UNCG Spartans | 67c | 48.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed UNCG Spartans | 54c | 45.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…1481backed UNCG Spartans | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Furman Paladins | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNCG Spartans | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…5a2fbacked Furman Paladins | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed UNCG Spartans | 35c | 31.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Furman Paladins | 55c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed UNCG Spartans | 58c | 26.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Furman Paladins | 62c | 24.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed UNCG Spartans | 59c | 21.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Furman Paladins | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Furman Paladins | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed UNCG Spartans | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladinsthis page
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-11.5)UNCG Spartans won
- Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5)UNCG Spartans won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 149.5Under won
- UNCG Spartans vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.