Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb64ed94a7d338e8f7c241915d973ea81568989e348ac2b8dc2a44bdd09de85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,746$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.65 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 27c | 553.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 24c | 368.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 76c | 346.07$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 333.59$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 315.7$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…6009backed No | 78c | 300.59$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 77c | 283.05$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 263.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 14c | 250.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 16c | 235.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 233.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 23c | 213.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 73c | 199.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 181$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 178.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 175.11$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 78c | 161.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…9145backed Yes | 14c | 153.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 85 | 9.4%8 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 18c | 147.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 144.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 140.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 70c | 139.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…3abebacked Yes | 23c | 135.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 21c | 128.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed No | 79c | 126.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 183 | 33.3%61 W · 122 L | -17.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…9ab0backed Yes | 28c | 121.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…56d9backed No | 61c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…4dd6backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 77c | 112.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 14c | 104.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 41c | 100.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 80c | 97.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 18c | 82.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9f2fbacked Yes | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…132bbacked Yes | 40c | 75.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 66c | 73.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 75c | 70.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 25c | 66.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 75c | 65.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 17c | 65.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 64.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 60.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 21c | 59.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…1eb0backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…d4dabacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 53 | 81.1%43 W · 10 L | +8.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 66c | 49.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…3f7cbacked Yes | 24c | 48.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 22c | 47.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 75c | 44.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 78c | 41.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…d640backed No | 76c | 38.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…fd84backed No | 79c | 37.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 51c | 37.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 75c | 35.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 57c | 34.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 80c | 31.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 79c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 76c | 29.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 75c | 28.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…39aabacked No | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 24.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 72c | 23.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f4…d093backed No | 77c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 78c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 76c | 18.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…d27ebacked No | 68c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 58c | 17.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…1303backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.