Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10690b54ceabfbd5e8845afff6885c6a1cc7e9d6340211102bd318863c13830e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 33c | 1,289$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.92 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes | 78c | 1,095$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.74 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd10…7544backed Yes | 60c | 878.72$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 61c | 736.95$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.22 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 628$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.01 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 603$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.11 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 24c | 579.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 37c | 519.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 35c | 460.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.14 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 41c | 456.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 447.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 40c | 361.33$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 35c | 345.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 60c | 337.01$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 36c | 324.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed Yes | 63c | 309.48$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…7023backed Yes | 49c | 293.2$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 56 | 80.4%45 W · 11 L | +17.3wins | +0.31per pick | 50cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 27c | 274.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 23c | 265.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 30c | 254.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 40c | 250.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 11c | 239.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 226.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 17c | 219.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 159$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 158.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 129.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 55c | 128.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…9cfcbacked Yes | 43c | 128.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 69c | 128.19$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 55c | 122.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 80c | 120.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 119.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 70c | 114.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 48c | 113.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 105.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked No | 25c | 101.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed No | 47c | 100.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 52c | 95.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 48c | 93.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 50c | 90.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 61c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 37c | 86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 59c | 84.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 57c | 81.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 62c | 74.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f3f0backed No | 43c | 72.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…41f7backed Yes | 61c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 50c | 67.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 28c | 66.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…b458backed No | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 38c | 65.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 36c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 41c | 63.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cd…eaecbacked Yes | 64c | 62.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 146 | 60.3%88 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 41c | 60.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…bd11backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 55c | 58.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 64c | 58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 35c | 57.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 80c | 54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 73c | 53.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…8f53backed No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 30c | 50.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 60c | 50.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…8262backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…bcb4backed No | 54c | 49.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 46.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 77c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…63debacked Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…78b5backed Yes | 45c | 44.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 161 | 34.2%55 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 64c | 44.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 72c | 44.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 51c | 41.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed Yes | 29c | 38.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed No | 55c | 36.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 64c | 35.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 44c | 35.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 60c | 34.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 64c | 34.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 53c | 31.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 66c | 31.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 52c | 31.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 47c | 31.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 55c | 30.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.