Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5e4fe268c748a22c9302626b2b26a0e7030e683edaf35ea68e992e11079a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd10…7544backed Yes | 56c | 2,348$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.23 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 46c | 694.07$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 649.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.61 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 600.77$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.37 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 42c | 515.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 38c | 417.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 409.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 54c | 354.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 345$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 69c | 344.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 61c | 324.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 48c | 299.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed No | 79c | 197.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…0d66backed Yes | 40c | 193.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 191.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.03 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 24c | 161.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 73c | 159.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 36c | 154.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 48c | 152.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 31c | 147.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 125.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 63c | 123.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 26c | 106.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 105.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 28c | 100.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 34c | 99.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 23c | 98.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 95.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 45c | 92.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 91.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 85.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 25c | 82.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 50c | 81.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 72c | 81.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 74.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 67c | 66.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 41c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 49c | 60.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed No | 57c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 37c | 60.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…2b9cbacked Yes | 44c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 66c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 62c | 58.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 40c | 57.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…d63cbacked Yes | 21c | 56.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 71c | 55.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…4c10backed No | 56c | 51.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 61c | 50.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…815ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8d…fd0dbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 44c | 47.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 45.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 57c | 41.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed No | 55c | 41.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Yes | 37c | 40.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 55c | 35.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…1cafbacked Yes | 30c | 34.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 42c | 33.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 52c | 33.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 58c | 33.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 57c | 31.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 30.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 28.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 52c | 26.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 65c | 25.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…8454backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 45c | 23.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…8262backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…63debacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…9c93backed No | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…eba4backed No | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…7cacbacked No | 78c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 60c | 17.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 62c | 17.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.