Fifa International · resolved market
Will Moldova vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118b9fd069ab3f67926510560277a238c9ffb1af4d9a59142bb5b7ee7aad3f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 30c | 11,091$3,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.95 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 58c | 4,818$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.66 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Yes | 68c | 4,582$3,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.93 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 3,506$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.64 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 3,354$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.56 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 17c | 2,944$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.83 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 2,325$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 64c | 1,960$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.45 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,857$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 28c | 1,587$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.92 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 1,304$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.03 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 62c | 1,016$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.13 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 50c | 800.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 771.42$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.5 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 46c | 628.28$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 175 | 69.1%121 W · 54 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 23c | 533$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.21 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 505.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 54c | 474$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 46c | 456.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 25c | 451.82$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.25 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 62c | 389.17$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.59 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 386.26$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 11c | 382.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.38 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 21c | 345.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 318.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 311.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 75c | 274.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 70c | 254.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.21 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 70c | 254.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 33c | 254.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 197.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 52c | 193.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 72c | 156.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 30c | 151.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 142.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 30c | 127$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 56c | 125.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 117.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.46 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Yes | 59c | 107.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 69c | 100.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Yes | 31c | 98.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed No | 17c | 97.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 97.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0a40backed Yes | 63c | 87.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…e75dbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yes | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 41c | 80.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 333 | 45.3%151 W · 182 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 60c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 56c | 75.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 229 | 51.1%117 W · 112 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Yes | 45c | 69.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 62.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked No | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 55.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 77c | 52.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 28c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 34.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 70c | 33.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 52c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…b9debacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 70c | 27.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 70c | 24.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Yes | 60c | 22.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes | 79c | 22.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 91 | 74.7%68 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 70c | 21.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 18.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Yes | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Moldova vs. Bulgaria end in a draw?this page
- Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Moldova win on 2026-06-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.