MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d5c9c50d200bfc6169c4fe2db078593892ce35c7a8a0e90d3099e71bffaf91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Athletics | 43c | 164,199$70,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,848.24 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Royals | 57c | 72,538$41,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,571.87 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Royals | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,100 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Royals | 57c | 22,193$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,650.28 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Royals | 57c | 14,673$8,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.61 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 35c | 5,500$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 57c | 4,569$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Royals | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Royals | 76c | 2,511$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.38 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals | 57c | 2,330$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.1 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Royals | 56c | 2,016$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.12 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Royals | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Royals | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Athletics | 42c | 1,944$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.52 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Royals | 57c | 1,842$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Royals | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Royals | 57c | 1,633$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.81 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Athletics | 42c | 1,557$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.06 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 57c | 1,505$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.85 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 52c | 1,298$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 30c | 904.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.02 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 57c | 808.63$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.01 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Royals | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 4c | 788.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Royals | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Athletics | 37c | 630.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.9 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 60c | 597$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.21 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Athletics | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics | 21c | 482.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.53 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Royals | 60c | 416.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Royals | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Athletics | 14c | 378.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.44 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 40c | 358.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Royals | 32c | 320.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 20c | 252.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 41c | 244.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Royals | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Royals | 71c | 231.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.43 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Royals | 78c | 222.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Royals | 17c | 179.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 59c | 174.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 60c | 165.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Athletics | 41c | 159.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 16c | 159.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 8c | 144.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Royals | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics | 42c | 127.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Athletics | 42c | 120.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 14c | 114.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Royals | 56c | 108.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Royals | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Royals | 58c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Royals | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Royals | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Athletics | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 36c | 86.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 59c | 66.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Athletics | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 57c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…214ebacked Athletics | 43c | 50.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…9b46backed Royals | 58c | 49.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 58c | 47.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 62c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Royals | 60c | 43.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Royals | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Athletics | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…b6c1backed Athletics | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Athletics | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Royals | 59c | 27.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Royals | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…31ffbacked Royals | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.