Fifa International · resolved market
France to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1376fe19ad3a9d33d559dfa1cde0c49de74c2c58d6b1fdba6affa7550daa1485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 45c | 6,912$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.4 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 55c | 5,016$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.56 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 56c | 3,164$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.49 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 41c | 2,900$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.69 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba6…945fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,177$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 45c | 1,166$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.63 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 51c | 1,090$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.65 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 988.37$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 45c | 413.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 382.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.89 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…99a5backed Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 44c | 288.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 283.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 68c | 222$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 32c | 221.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…775bbacked Yes | 49c | 201$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 43c | 200.54$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 194.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.37 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 43c | 170.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 32c | 165.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…a904backed No | 45c | 164$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 43c | 128.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…4750backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 48c | 110.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 45c | 100.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 199 | 39.7%79 W · 120 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…0ea2backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 44c | 70.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 58c | 62.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…09ffbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c7…2491backed Yes | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 52.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…2219backed Yes | 56c | 44.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed No | 45c | 43.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb6…223cbacked Yes | 55c | 43.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Yes | 52c | 36.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…1534backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…aedebacked Yes | 59c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 44c | 33.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b2edbacked Yes | 49c | 30.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 26.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…451dbacked Yes | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to win the second half?this page
- France vs. Senegal: Second half draw?No won
- Senegal to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.