Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14b18b8c9323502e027b4a7f07c0b36ebddf5c92de71a0926895221f09eb7e0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 340.37$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 60c | 268.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 45c | 266.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 57c | 250.9$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 38c | 210.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 203.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 44c | 187.69$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked No | 68c | 186$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.34 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 38c | 177.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 62c | 150.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 59c | 149.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 143.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 41c | 143.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 140.57$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 74c | 133.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 41c | 128.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 57c | 121.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 42c | 120$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 115.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 59c | 111.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 41c | 107.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 38c | 106.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 14c | 105.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 60c | 96.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 28c | 96.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 63c | 92.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 40c | 91.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…fc71backed No | 54c | 85.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 25c | 83.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 42c | 76.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 57c | 71.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 27c | 68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 67.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 62c | 63.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 41c | 61.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 67c | 60.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc508…70acbacked No | 61c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed No | 76c | 58.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd39…5f76backed No | 68c | 53.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 95 | 69.5%66 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 57c | 53.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 42c | 52.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 52.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 39c | 51.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 59c | 50.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…68ffbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 35c | 49.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 58c | 48.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 64c | 47.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed Yes | 40c | 46.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 55c | 46.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 43c | 44.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 42c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 43.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 61c | 42.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 56c | 39.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 64c | 39.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…0a9abacked Yes | 36c | 38.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…e1f8backed No | 59c | 38.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 71c | 35.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 44c | 34.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 42c | 32.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 44c | 31.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9676…4374backed No | 57c | 28.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…1f77backed Yes | 70c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 47c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf85…f199backed No | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…0679backed No | 62c | 23.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cb…fd34backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 59c | 22.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…bcb4backed No | 62c | 21.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed No | 61c | 21.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…618cbacked No | 65c | 20.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…8809backed Yes | 73c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…d5d8backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 63c | 19.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 75c | 18.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…764dbacked No | 65c | 17.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…842cbacked No | 60c | 16.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…1686backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 641 | 67.6%433 W · 208 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…91f9backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.