Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16119be9b93754fb020fee0a76376337480db2f9acf276c930a76a27cdac8b36

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $199,024
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,024 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	16c	14,138$2,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,289.2	227	15%34 W · 193 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	31c	9,685$3,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,018.28	549	23%126 W · 423 L	+16.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	5,031$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.86	1,219	8.7%106 W · 1,113 L	+32.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	5,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	371	10.8%40 W · 331 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	29c	3,602$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.48	714	16.7%119 W · 595 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe122…0b62backed Yes	4c	3,568$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.75	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	17c	3,175$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.97	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	3,137$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.38	288	4.9%14 W · 274 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-90.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	71c	3,081$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.69	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	5c	3,023$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	397	4.5%18 W · 379 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	2,921$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.38	534	10.5%56 W · 478 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c96…597ebacked Yes	21c	2,655$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	2,579$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.68	1,096	8.2%90 W · 1,006 L	+28.7wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	0c	2,550$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	388	6.4%25 W · 363 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	12c	2,456$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.72	589	22.1%130 W · 459 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	0c	2,431$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	6c	2,388$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.61	1,809	7.4%133 W · 1,676 L	-24.7wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	2,300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.05	191	3.7%7 W · 184 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	2,136$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	284	17.3%49 W · 235 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4982…fe01backed No	77c	2,125$1,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.2	118	29.7%35 W · 83 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	10c	2,071$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.69	430	19.3%83 W · 347 L	-19.5wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	1,910$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.94	911	10.2%93 W · 818 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	5c	1,833$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.96	197	4.1%8 W · 189 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+211.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0124…473abacked Yes	1c	1,782$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	25c	1,770$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.03	434	10.6%46 W · 388 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	16c	1,713$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.62	269	13.8%37 W · 232 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	27c	1,612$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.21	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	23c	1,569$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.82	342	21.9%75 W · 267 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf6…d964backed Yes	22c	1,505$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	20c	1,479$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.19	114	41.2%47 W · 67 L	+11.0wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb89f…f169backed No	80c	1,394$1,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.13	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	20c	1,305$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.57	340	21.5%73 W · 267 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	13c	1,150$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.17	1,072	13.6%146 W · 926 L	+38.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	17c	1,100$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	5c	1,096$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	135	24.4%33 W · 102 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	19cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9298…de2cbacked Yes	33c	1,085$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.32	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-59%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7914…8ba1backed Yes	36c	1,039$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd3…47b6backed Yes	10c	1,004$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	3c	898.34$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.13	781	21.8%170 W · 611 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	889.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	254	24.4%62 W · 192 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	20c	846.23$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.25	556	22.5%125 W · 431 L	-19.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	12c	840.27$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.93	335	24.5%82 W · 253 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	64c	799.95$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.98	316	43%136 W · 180 L	+20.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	70c	761.51$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.85	232	60.3%140 W · 92 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes	5c	741.77$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.77	108	45.4%49 W · 59 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	4c	700$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	332	16.9%56 W · 276 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes	5c	699$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	67c	675.86$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.01	556	75.2%418 W · 138 L	+35.4wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	2c	638.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.59	100	1%1 W · 99 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd4…4c88backed Yes	23c	629.86$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	623.09$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	903	17.1%154 W · 749 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7557…7579backed Yes	10c	606.54$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.65	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x138d…b23ebacked Yes	4c	600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	18c	599.99$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.25	419	22.9%96 W · 323 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes	5c	584.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.11	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	9c	580.05$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.01	175	7.4%13 W · 162 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	21c	565$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.69	142	31.7%45 W · 97 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84c…e169backed Yes	18c	564.58$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.71	129	51.9%67 W · 62 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4a3…c352backed Yes	24c	563.08$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+115.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc781…d295backed Yes	13c	517.28$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.79	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	10c	517.23$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	207	14%29 W · 178 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95a2…67ebbacked No	78c	511.16$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.25	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	64cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	24c	503.31$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.7	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	501.1$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	574	8.2%47 W · 527 L	+12.9wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb816…9e90backed Yes	6c	500$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	26c	499.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	155	34.8%54 W · 101 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	13c	494$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.87	232	22%51 W · 181 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5047backed Yes	9c	470.03$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.83	167	6%10 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c9…83b5backed Yes	16c	440$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.72	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb6d…2294backed Yes	9c	439.83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.03	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5668…1f91backed Yes	28c	428.57$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	25c	415.74$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.78	857	16.5%141 W · 716 L	+25.0wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	14c	407$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.54	1,061	10.7%113 W · 948 L	-34.2wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-59%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	400.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	350	16%56 W · 294 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	24c	389.95$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.75	837	14.9%125 W · 712 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	10c	374.04$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.78	77	5.2%4 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-86%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes	4c	373.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	137	47.4%65 W · 72 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	25c	356.85$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.78	181	34.3%62 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ac…2d06backed Yes	23c	356.79$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	13c	350$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	467	11.3%53 W · 414 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c72…15c2backed Yes	20c	345$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes	4c	340.26$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	133	42.9%57 W · 76 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	30c	334.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.67	125	20.8%26 W · 99 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	15c	324.27$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	161	13%21 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bda…f2bbbacked Yes	24c	321.08$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.06	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	77c	314.1$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.11	136	26.5%36 W · 100 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3742…150cbacked No	75c	300$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db2…0f2ebacked Yes	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	4c	300$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	190	7.9%15 W · 175 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+84%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15c2…fba2backed Yes	34c	299.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.74	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	5c	296.09$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	304	27%82 W · 222 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	8c	291.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	8c	278$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	800	8.8%70 W · 730 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	28c	277.77$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.78	286	23.4%67 W · 219 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf569…ccaabacked Yes	7c	271.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	11c	261.71$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	263	12.2%32 W · 231 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fac…3e5abacked Yes	10c	261.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.86	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5734…06babacked Yes	24c	250$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.23	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	10c	249.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	471	21%99 W · 372 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event