Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa8ce03ba5c064f5c3d9f1273871d576c72e73a08f3424612800bd1a1e80fdb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $833,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $531,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $833,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 12c | 42,747$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.65 | 227 | 15%34 W · 193 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 1c | 33,319$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.16 | 197 | 4.1%8 W · 189 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 5c | 32,287$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…8ba1backed Yes | 1c | 18,196$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 1c | 17,015$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 577 | 5.5%32 W · 545 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked Yes | 0c | 14,638$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 1c | 14,491$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1c…98e8backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked Yes | 0c | 10,954$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,787$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 288 | 4.9%14 W · 274 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…2045backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…a05ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,028$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd3…47b6backed Yes | 2c | 8,959$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…3d9bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,354$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,346$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 350 | 16%56 W · 294 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 17c | 7,700$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.04 | 556 | 22.5%125 W · 431 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 0c | 7,516$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 4c | 7,315$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.51 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 10c | 7,180$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.7 | 430 | 19.3%83 W · 347 L | -19.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9232…9f09backed Yes | 2c | 7,139$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…7579backed Yes | 12c | 7,117$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.29 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…432dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,588$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…dd77backed Yes | 0c | 6,505$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,247$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.08 | 659 | 21.5%142 W · 517 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed Yes | 0c | 5,400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…16bdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,259$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe875…1d98backed Yes | 0c | 5,135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…319bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 4c | 5,083$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 181 | 20.4%37 W · 144 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…f287backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 6c | 4,800$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.1 | 534 | 10.5%56 W · 478 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…98f4backed Yes | 1c | 4,759$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 1c | 4,379$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…c6cabacked Yes | 0c | 4,157$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bb…0275backed Yes | 0c | 3,880$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 16c | 3,813$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.67 | 903 | 17.1%154 W · 749 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 2c | 3,778$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 164 | 28%46 W · 118 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed Yes | 1c | 3,484$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 15c | 3,482$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.77 | 233 | 18.9%44 W · 189 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 2c | 3,397$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 1,219 | 8.7%106 W · 1,113 L | +32.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed Yes | 13c | 3,359$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.44 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…473abacked Yes | 7c | 3,346$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…2cd8backed Yes | 6c | 3,142$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 269 | 13.8%37 W · 232 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,132$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1,061 | 10.7%113 W · 948 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd8…07febacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…82bdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 14c | 2,919$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.79 | 898 | 18.8%169 W · 729 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 14c | 2,909$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.89 | 593 | 20.9%124 W · 469 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,820$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2,188 | 3.9%85 W · 2,103 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed Yes | 1c | 2,680$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,599$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 2,542$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 2,589 | 13.1%340 W · 2,249 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…e413backed Yes | 1c | 2,433$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…73fdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,410$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…04cebacked Yes | 13c | 2,388$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes | 12c | 2,325$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.31 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 6c | 2,247$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 332 | 16.9%56 W · 276 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,096$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.42 | 286 | 23.4%67 W · 219 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes | 8c | 2,040$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 304 | 27%82 W · 222 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes | 3c | 2,017$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…7649backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…ac4bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,945$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…da32backed No | 75c | 1,919$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.66 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,919$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 19.9%40 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bda…f2bbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,869$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…8354backed Yes | 1c | 1,862$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…789cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,851$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…06edbacked Yes | 38c | 1,847$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.45 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…436bbacked No | 79c | 1,846$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb3…037dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,828$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes | 7c | 1,800$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.46 | 134 | 14.2%19 W · 115 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,752$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…c352backed Yes | 7c | 1,726$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…40edbacked Yes | 30c | 1,704$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…cf59backed Yes | 4c | 1,686$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…58febacked Yes | 22c | 1,575$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.27 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 26c | 1,575$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.16 | 434 | 10.6%46 W · 388 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 3c | 1,510$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,072 | 13.6%146 W · 926 L | +38.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.79 | 340 | 21.5%73 W · 267 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,465$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.02 | 589 | 22.1%130 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,438$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.39 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,384$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 106 | 21.7%23 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,368$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 254 | 12.6%32 W · 222 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 6c | 1,300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 128 | 37.5%48 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…c45abacked Yes | 1c | 1,298$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 11c | 1,244$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 911 | 10.2%93 W · 818 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d9…80a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,155$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…f5e1backed Yes | 2c | 1,105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…d07bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Yes | 5c | 1,097$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Yes | 17c | 1,017$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,004$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…4612backed Yes | 16c | 963.19$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 275 | 16.7%46 W · 229 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…0261backed Yes | 23c | 961.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.38 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 6c | 960.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 857 | 16.5%141 W · 716 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 8c | 914.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 13c | 839.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 18c | 826.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 345 | 27.8%96 W · 249 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes | 5c | 821.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 9c | 800$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 445 | 19.3%86 W · 359 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.