Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168626c1f7e91467ed8fd48cc7b5d75c809a4e958d33085efb7883c6e863f4da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 40c | 24,690$9,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,776.15 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 63c | 18,892$11,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.2 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 37c | 6,340$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.84 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 61c | 4,959$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.86 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 61c | 4,958$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.86 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 38c | 2,502$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.56 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 35c | 2,326$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.21 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.66 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 36c | 1,417$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.25 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 37c | 1,212$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 36c | 991.94$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.1 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 60c | 833.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 61c | 814.13$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.3 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 36c | 710.64$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 37c | 582.21$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.42 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 61c | 398.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 39c | 398.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 384.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 374.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 300.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 36c | 259.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 41c | 217$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 41c | 199.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Over | 40c | 176.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 36c | 142.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 42c | 136.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 36c | 113.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Under | 62c | 79.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 70.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 53c | 69.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 58c | 59.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Under | 60c | 58.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 39c | 39.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 54c | 35.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 59c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 39c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 27.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 143.5this page
- Portland State Vikings vs. Montana GrizzliesMontana Grizzlies won
- Portland State Vikings vs. Montana Grizzlies: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.