MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17194fbce408a1c03404e908a670b4b1e0918741a1ce58faaed2289d9a5b6109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 47c | 120,000$56,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,399.98 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 105,555$55,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,565.13 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 62,992$29,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,383.47 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 31,536$16,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,813.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 26,306$14,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,218.47 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 7,710$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 7,093$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 46c | 6,500$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 53c | 5,384$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.63 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 3,417$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.2 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 2,590$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.3 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 57c | 1,967$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.76 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 53c | 1,907$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.29 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 1,816$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.78 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,436$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 52c | 954$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.92 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 47c | 923.3$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.95 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 49c | 715$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 54c | 484.67$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 48c | 443.86$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.07 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 422$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 53c | 385$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 53c | 342.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.9 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 298$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 48c | 286.65$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 54c | 276.27$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 54c | 235$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…724dbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 45c | 188.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 186.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 57c | 176.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 48c | 166.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…4d66backed Under | 54c | 164.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 45c | 144.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 128.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 126$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 39c | 124.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 119.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 46c | 119.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1164…f58bbacked Over | 47c | 113.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 113$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 106.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1565…1eb7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 53c | 102.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 46c | 99.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 99.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 90.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 53c | 85.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 70.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 50c | 69.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 53c | 68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Over | 38c | 67.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 65.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 48c | 60.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 47c | 55.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 48c | 53.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 51.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 47c | 50.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 51c | 49.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 61c | 48.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 47.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 48c | 44.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…f09bbacked Over | 46c | 43.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 56.7%143 W · 109 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 38.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 48c | 36.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Over | 43c | 32.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 29.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 48c | 26.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…0b79backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 48c | 24.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 52c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.