TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Angelsof Seattle Mariners, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners47c32,075$15,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,065.861351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels52c15,279$7,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,314.474,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Los Angeles Angels74c10,859$8,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.5515650.6%79 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels55c8,578$4,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,844.0111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners49c8,152$3,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.654,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels53c3,228$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.256,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners43c2,797$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.9712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels62c2,328$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.954,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels52c2,244$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07773650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Seattle Mariners47c2,034$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.0150553.5%270 W · 235 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels52c1,667$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.151,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Seattle Mariners47c1,619$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76111454.4%62 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Los Angeles Angels53c1,460$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.257753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels56c1,389$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.4710,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Seattle Mariners45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009258.7%54 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Seattle Mariners49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Los Angeles Angels53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels53c961.1$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.723,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners23c759.09$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.071,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners48c755.58$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.612,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Seattle Mariners29c694$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.853,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Angels54c679.29$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.688,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Angels53c601.25$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.598,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Los Angeles Angels53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Angels51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Seattle Mariners47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038453.9%207 W · 177 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Los Angeles Angels77c373.28$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2812154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels53c372.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.925,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Seattle Mariners46c299.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9959252.7%312 W · 280 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Angels62c292.63$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.29,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners42c281.24$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8652228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Los Angeles Angels59c273.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.81,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Seattle Mariners42c265$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0611535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels53c222$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.341,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners46c216.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.552,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners40c212.28$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.834,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels53c210$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.32,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Seattle Mariners48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Seattle Mariners49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+74.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9482636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Seattle Mariners47c191.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9054654.9%300 W · 246 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels46c184$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.516,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Los Angeles Angels55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8210750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Angels52c179.98$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.592,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738e…1f9abacked Seattle Mariners61c171.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.773844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Los Angeles Angels53c166$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0212544.8%56 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Angels65c144.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0739051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Angels66c142.79$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5539953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners22c136.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.434,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Seattle Mariners38c136.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.265,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Angels54c133$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.792,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Angels52c128.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.682,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Los Angeles Angels61c118.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.061,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Seattle Mariners48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9215848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Angels51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4973849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Los Angeles Angels54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4616648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0157…a97ebacked Seattle Mariners47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710950.5%55 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Los Angeles Angels53c94.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3867444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.92,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Seattle Mariners40c90.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.392,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Seattle Mariners48c87.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.027451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Los Angeles Angels50c79.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0631848.7%155 W · 163 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Los Angeles Angels64c78.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8719756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Mariners49c77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.451,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels56c75.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.252,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Seattle Mariners48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0446854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Seattle Mariners48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Seattle Mariners40c71.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7142047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Los Angeles Angels61c69.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.151,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Los Angeles Angels59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Angels54c65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.071,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Seattle Mariners47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Seattle Mariners47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012957.4%74 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Los Angeles Angels57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.447646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Seattle Mariners23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.835248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Los Angeles Angels61c57.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2119163.4%121 W · 70 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels44c50.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.482,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a48…9e7bbacked Los Angeles Angels54c45.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9819549.2%96 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Los Angeles Angels61c44.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.286663.6%42 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Los Angeles Angels68c44.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2676558%444 W · 321 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Los Angeles Angels55c43.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6985949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c77…8d9cbacked Los Angeles Angels52c43.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.065141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…a183backed Seattle Mariners46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Angels65c38.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.551,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a8…df77backed Los Angeles Angels54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.045257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Angels54c36.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.896,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Seattle Mariners43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518444%81 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f3…ad11backed Seattle Mariners47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Seattle Mariners48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1544347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Angels53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Seattle Mariners45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Los Angeles Angels58c29.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.451,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Los Angeles Angels54c26.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3814546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0c…b898backed Seattle Mariners44c25.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f04…2392backed Seattle Mariners51c23.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Seattle Mariners47c21.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1123140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Seattle Mariners48c20.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029256.5%165 W · 127 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Los Angeles Angels53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.434846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.