Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a6f39348b7d468fa2f9dacb559b4026afbeb936e483aa4e0cff4131bc714758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 1c | 1,360$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 23c | 1,313$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.85 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 71c | 733.85$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 52c | 638.72$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.22 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 62c | 380.12$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 16c | 339.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 47c | 240.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 78c | 219.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…2b25backed No | 55c | 180.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 58.7%193 W · 136 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 15c | 176.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 24c | 172.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 76c | 162.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 64c | 147.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 64c | 146.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 25c | 145.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…b0f2backed Yes | 79c | 144.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 142$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 15c | 122.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 36c | 120.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 108.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 69c | 108.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 34c | 104.78$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 62c | 104.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 59c | 103.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 28c | 94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 80c | 93.71$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 44c | 92.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 66c | 88.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 36c | 83.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 38c | 74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 73.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 16c | 69.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 69.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 26c | 69.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 68.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 68.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 31c | 66.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 22c | 65.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 32c | 65.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 68c | 63.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 62.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 20c | 61.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…0359backed Yes | 32c | 61.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 32c | 55.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 72c | 55.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 52.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 35c | 52.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 44c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked Yes | 38c | 47.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 47.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…8110backed No | 66c | 45.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 73c | 41.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 74c | 37.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 30c | 36.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 33c | 35.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…f244backed No | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 75c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 42c | 29.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 62c | 29.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 69c | 27.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 67c | 23.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 20.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…647bbacked Yes | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7274…c205backed Yes | 65c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 213 | 61%130 W · 83 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed No | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.