TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dublin: Oliver Crawford vs Alexis Galarneau

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexis Galarneauof Oliver Crawford, Alexis Galarneau
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Alexis Galarneau51c19,433$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,433.274439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Oliver Crawford49c11,620$5,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,712.818,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Crawford51c5,702$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.3211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Alexis Galarneau46c4,281$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.8353655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked Oliver Crawford61c2,520$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.2118445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Oliver Crawford42c2,148$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Oliver Crawford79c1,266$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00062956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Alexis Galarneau37c1,089$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.187337.1%324 W · 549 L-3.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Oliver Crawford30c1,069$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.535,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Oliver Crawford45c806.31$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.141,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Alexis Galarneau36c698.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.798740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Oliver Crawford66c632.67$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.583,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd231…633cbacked Oliver Crawford67c600$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexis Galarneau45c549.2$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.688,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Oliver Crawford7c511.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519410.3%20 W · 174 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf146…d3ffbacked Alexis Galarneau43c495.82$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.822564%16 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+55.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Oliver Crawford76c394.13$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9651457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Alexis Galarneau25c386.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.3222020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…618ebacked Alexis Galarneau52c361.54$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alexis Galarneau27c350.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.381,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Alexis Galarneau52c336.12$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.852341.5%217 W · 306 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alexis Galarneau49c322.36$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.272,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alexis Galarneau58c316.58$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.964,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Oliver Crawford31c310.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.369135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Oliver Crawford45c299.15$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0130625.8%79 W · 227 L-28.6wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alexis Galarneau40c280.71$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.226,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Alexis Galarneau29c272.57$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.161,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Oliver Crawford49c270.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0919744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alexis Galarneau29c265$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.231,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alexis Galarneau26c246.78$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.521,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Oliver Crawford46c217$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8238952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Alexis Galarneau57c206.88$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Alexis Galarneau28c203.63$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6385348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c12…a143backed Alexis Galarneau59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.393354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a70…9dc4backed Oliver Crawford80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Oliver Crawford33c198$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.984,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Oliver Crawford76c196.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Oliver Crawford69c179.6$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5347274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce60…f989backed Oliver Crawford48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexis Galarneau31c165.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.944,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Alexis Galarneau37c165.04$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.43,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd436…18a9backed Alexis Galarneau40c165$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.212550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Alexis Galarneau55c154.78$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.830749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Oliver Crawford25c153.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6326640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Oliver Crawford74c150.7$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.366,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…0256backed Oliver Crawford74c147.66$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Oliver Crawford50c145.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.985,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Alexis Galarneau24c141.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6319941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alexis Galarneau30c137.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.68,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Oliver Crawford32c134.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.196,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Alexis Galarneau29c122.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.261,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…675fbacked Alexis Galarneau56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.810140.6%41 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Alexis Galarneau63c116.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.931,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Oliver Crawford54c115.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7542359.1%250 W · 173 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Oliver Crawford51c113.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Alexis Galarneau36c109.31$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3128348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Alexis Galarneau53c103.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9811336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Oliver Crawford53c103.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6830040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Oliver Crawford48c101.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.177231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Alexis Galarneau27c101$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0559253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Alexis Galarneau39c97.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.443,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Alexis Galarneau39c97.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.443,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Oliver Crawford48c91.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2436545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Alexis Galarneau58c89.7$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9852155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alexis Galarneau45c88.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.941,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Alexis Galarneau29c84.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3947651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Alexis Galarneau57c84.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2136264.6%234 W · 128 L-1.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Oliver Crawford60c77.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.733,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Alexis Galarneau39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Alexis Galarneau52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9221964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…4944backed Oliver Crawford69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016469.5%114 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Oliver Crawford77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036554.2%198 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Oliver Crawford78c64.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.561,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Oliver Crawford41c64.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3696844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed8…221abacked Alexis Galarneau36c63.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.632944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Oliver Crawford63c63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7237156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Oliver Crawford56c59$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.061,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Alexis Galarneau26c57.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.543618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8741…5b0abacked Alexis Galarneau29c55.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.444351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Oliver Crawford56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3049955.1%275 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Oliver Crawford43c51.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.133,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Oliver Crawford44c45.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Oliver Crawford42c44.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.657,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Alexis Galarneau56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaa…8d2ebacked Oliver Crawford51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf010…3218backed Oliver Crawford53c37.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Oliver Crawford58c37.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9743950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35e…1ee1backed Alexis Galarneau61c36.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alexis Galarneau56c35.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.416,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Oliver Crawford74c32.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6216467.1%110 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Oliver Crawford51c29.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9920841.8%87 W · 121 L-26.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Oliver Crawford51c27.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1969438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Alexis Galarneau57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6173748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4233…a11abacked Alexis Galarneau70c26.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Oliver Crawford41c25.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4874346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…e861backed Oliver Crawford79c25.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Oliver Crawford43c24.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4931657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Oliver Crawford67c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0835060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Oliver Crawford70c21.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1239157.8%226 W · 165 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Alexis Galarneau52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1543358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.