Lol · resolved market
LoL: VfB eSports vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bb2de30ba16f6683fc38f9bab4680cc73c61b1a4545234baa94a9908d048a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Orange Gamingof VfB eSports, Team Orange Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked VfB eSports | 9c | 9,437$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 4,222$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.37 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked VfB eSports | 7c | 3,565$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.53 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…c8b9backed VfB eSports | 13c | 3,016$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.88 | 179 | 39.1%70 W · 109 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked VfB eSports | 17c | 2,860$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VfB eSports | 19c | 1,865$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.21 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed VfB eSports | 14c | 1,166$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.78 | 333 | 32.7%109 W · 224 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed VfB eSports | 18c | 1,155$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed VfB eSports | 17c | 1,051$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed VfB eSports | 8c | 913.09$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed VfB eSports | 23c | 870.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed VfB eSports | 17c | 786.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked VfB eSports | 16c | 738$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 666.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed VfB eSports | 22c | 659.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed VfB eSports | 16c | 582.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed VfB eSports | 9c | 566.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked VfB eSports | 25c | 549.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked VfB eSports | 21c | 499.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked VfB eSports | 18c | 488$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 183 | 35.5%65 W · 118 L | -23.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed VfB eSports | 18c | 471.94$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed VfB eSports | 20c | 448.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.6 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked VfB eSports | 16c | 416.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VfB eSports | 7c | 375.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 363.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed VfB eSports | 18c | 351.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed VfB eSports | 11c | 321.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked VfB eSports | 15c | 317.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked VfB eSports | 15c | 304.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked VfB eSports | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Orange Gaming | 79c | 277.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked VfB eSports | 17c | 264.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VfB eSports | 13c | 259.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked VfB eSports | 23c | 250.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VfB eSports | 17c | 250.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed VfB eSports | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 53.4%124 W · 108 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed VfB eSports | 20c | 238.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed VfB eSports | 16c | 225.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked VfB eSports | 19c | 211.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VfB eSports | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked VfB eSports | 8c | 199.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed VfB eSports | 22c | 195.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d45…973abacked VfB eSports | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VfB eSports | 19c | 155.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked VfB eSports | 17c | 152.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed VfB eSports | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked VfB eSports | 9c | 119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked VfB eSports | 27c | 114.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 161 | 41.6%67 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VfB eSports | 18c | 114$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 100.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked VfB eSports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked VfB eSports | 20c | 94.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked VfB eSports | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VfB eSports | 14c | 83.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked VfB eSports | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Team Orange Gaming | 79c | 77.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed VfB eSports | 17c | 62.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked VfB eSports | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 255 | 40.8%104 W · 151 L | -26.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed VfB eSports | 21c | 59.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Team Orange Gaming | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…376fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 80c | 33.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Team Orange Gaming | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Orange Gaming | 78c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.