TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$270,734
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,734 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under53c173,329$92,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,255.2943647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c46,764$21,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,944.2311,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over47c35,557$16,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,852.4711849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over48c20,825$9,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,828.9332251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over47c16,998$7,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,008.878,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c12,603$5,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,805.54,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Under55c10,382$5,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,663.0486548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Over62c9,194$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,493.6948451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over47c5,366$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.8727351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c4,471$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.264,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c4,158$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.11,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c4,096$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.462,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00077647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c3,388$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.654,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over46c3,001$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.791,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over48c2,861$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.292,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c2,640$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.2610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,618$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.956,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c2,497$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.338,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Over47c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1662740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c1,913$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over61c1,855$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.068,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c1,396$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.173,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over62c1,378$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.074,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under53c1,214$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4455653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under54c1,129$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.1568053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over47c1,119$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.9647350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over47c1,111$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8386653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over47c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over47c732.84$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.431,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over48c665.73$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.182,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c578.49$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.972,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over46c525$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.51,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over47c457.19$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4451545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over46c453.85$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0861450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.679543.2%41 W · 54 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over74c394.15$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.481866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+74.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over46c383.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.313,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Over48c332.88$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.140753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under50c304.5$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8229446.6%137 W · 157 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Under29c270.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.21,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x085e…da0bbacked Under42c236.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2264452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15b…000fbacked Under53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012253.3%65 W · 57 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005040%20 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over53c196.3$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.54,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under52c192.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9934942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under54c175$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.544949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over45c164.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.852,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under37c162.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5552228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over67c159.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.751,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Over47c156.85$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4634451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over73c149.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.58264.6%53 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.342,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c7…2699backed Over48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4534255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over76c118$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.325,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over44c102$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1268846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over47c101.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.881,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.821,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5284651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under13c96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4827450.7%139 W · 135 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…f43fbacked Over47c90$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.72850%14 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under52c89.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7122448.7%109 W · 115 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Over48c80.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.819246.7%43 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over48c73.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.352,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over46c71.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4567453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over63c66.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.691,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over46c65.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.011,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over48c64.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.553644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Under32c63.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3710142.6%43 W · 58 L-13.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Over61c62.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3719163.4%121 W · 70 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under50c59.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307766.2%51 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.239053.6%209 W · 181 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over48c52.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.317545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over45c49.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961,80353.8%970 W · 833 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4819759.9%118 W · 79 L+21.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207050%35 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Over48c44.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under50c43.77$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0674657.8%431 W · 315 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over64c43.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Over48c41.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6444651.6%230 W · 216 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under25c41.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4188046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Over52c41.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7442047.9%201 W · 219 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.827644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c37.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.971,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over47c36.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3834846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c36.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.493,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over47c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6814745.6%67 W · 80 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a7…5ed1backed Over48c33.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5524263.6%154 W · 88 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4d3…5639backed Over46c30.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4820654.4%112 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.