Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d3dc8c4159963b0d770a24dffc34e46ae34203f5ee2abecf260e5471060a190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 17c | 190.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 65c | 187.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 9c | 186.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 53c | 185.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 46c | 175.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 167.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 54c | 149.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 46c | 136.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…a808backed Yes | 16c | 116.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 57c | 113.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…5c65backed No | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…eca5backed Yes | 36c | 111.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 69c | 101.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 60c | 100.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 48c | 99.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 51c | 97.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 42c | 97.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…6450backed Yes | 39c | 96.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 141 | 19.1%27 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed No | 53c | 95.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 50c | 89.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 47c | 83.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 82.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 45c | 78.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 22c | 76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 43c | 70.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 37c | 70.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…0307backed No | 58c | 69.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…28d5backed No | 75c | 66.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 50c | 66.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 60.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 57.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…7e32backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 53c | 49.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed Yes | 61c | 49.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…3e93backed Yes | 62c | 48.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13d3…4856backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 46c | 45.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked Yes | 46c | 45.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 40c | 45.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 44.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 24c | 42.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 43c | 41.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 49c | 41.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 54c | 41.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 55c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…b668backed Yes | 50c | 40.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 44c | 38.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 37.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 50c | 37.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed No | 54c | 37.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 70c | 36.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 66c | 36.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 52c | 36.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 53c | 36.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…dcf5backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 48c | 35.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 44c | 34.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Yes | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 55c | 33.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 32.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 46c | 30.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 45c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 48c | 27.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 58c | 27.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 25.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 52c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 52c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…97edbacked Yes | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…38dabacked Yes | 57c | 23.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Yes | 45c | 23.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 50c | 22.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 56c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.