NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d7b7858c5fd0876354c78aeffd8acc96cf50346a8e629231557b0f350a88bb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,799 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 2,283$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Traktor | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Traktor | 54c | 1,361$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.92 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 1,034$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Traktor | 37c | 930.38$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Traktor | 28c | 739.57$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.11 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Traktor | 42c | 600.19$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Traktor | 38c | 527.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…c914backed Traktor | 64c | 467.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed Traktor | 41c | 290$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 266.31$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.43 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 266$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 46c | 261.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Traktor | 7c | 260.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 253.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Traktor | 38c | 236$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Traktor | 37c | 206.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Traktor | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 178.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Traktor | 27c | 163.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Traktor | 61c | 149.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Ak Bars Kazan | 68c | 138.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Traktor | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Traktor | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Traktor | 39c | 99.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 98.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 96.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 80.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Traktor | 25c | 74.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Traktor | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Traktor | 40c | 64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 48c | 62.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Traktor | 42c | 60.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Traktor | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Traktor | 38c | 56.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 57c | 54.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Traktor | 22c | 51.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Traktor | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Traktor | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Traktor | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…77e7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 32.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Ak Bars Kazan | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Traktor | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Traktor | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 29.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Traktor | 39c | 29.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 29.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Traktor | 64c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Traktor | 39c | 26.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 25.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Traktor | 47c | 25.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2e57backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 24.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Traktor | 48c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 61c | 20.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Traktor | 60c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Ak Bars Kazan | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.