Germany to score first vs. Paraguay?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21839bc48ddf9cba02a1fdf75e6225431143b02fab6c42527de534494dc48789

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $236,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $236,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,000 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x25ed…369bbacked Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe761…84fcbacked Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	75c	13,614$10,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,210.5	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	13,001$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.76	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No	25c	11,111$2,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,333.03	342	49.1%168 W · 174 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	75c	10,979$8,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,236.18	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No	25c	5,500$1,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,125	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	25c	3,802$947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,855.7	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No	25c	2,941$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,202.01	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No	25c	2,658$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,001.75	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5f…6c92backed No	25c	2,301$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,725.75	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No	25c	2,036$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,527.48	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcade…1ff6backed Yes	76c	1,438$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.55	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Yes	75c	1,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	177	51.4%91 W · 86 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No	25c	1,049$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$786.91	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No	26c	960.04$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.03	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Yes	75c	841.04$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.78	93	72%67 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	71cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x289e…4df8backed Yes	75c	700$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	67cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes	75c	666.67$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	284	44.4%126 W · 158 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a30…9e38backed No	25c	560$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a9d…de77backed Yes	74c	434.68$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2061…0187backed No	27c	404.47$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.7	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f21…2f95backed Yes	75c	400$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	68cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Yes	75c	399.79$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.84	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Yes	75c	366.67$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Yes	74c	300$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	101	69.3%70 W · 31 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	25c	277.36$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.32	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No	26c	272$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.28	407	36.6%149 W · 258 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x912c…aa92backed Yes	75c	266.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	73	74%54 W · 19 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	69cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes	75c	266.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4a9…f6c0backed Yes	69c	245$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.05	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	34cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed No	31c	238$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.07	457	40.3%184 W · 273 L	-28.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No	25c	200$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No	25c	197.67$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.25	179	53.6%96 W · 83 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0486…a55cbacked Yes	76c	197.37$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf1…2960backed Yes	76c	197.37$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	165	31.5%52 W · 113 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	52c	194.33$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.47	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No	26c	184$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.16	340	35%119 W · 221 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	74c	165.1$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.36	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	74c	165.09$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.85	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb24…d79fbacked Yes	75c	164$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	95	61.1%58 W · 37 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No	25c	149.99$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.49	572	52.4%300 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc25f…60cbbacked Yes	75c	146.67$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	24cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23bc…e684backed Yes	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x863a…e495backed No	26c	134.96$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.87	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81db…b143backed Yes	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf24…a697backed Yes	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	52.1%49 W · 45 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee77…bc9fbacked Yes	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f1…f852backed Yes	75c	133.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed No	26c	130.77$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.77	346	46%159 W · 187 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No	66c	127.38$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.96	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	75c	116$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.5	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903b…9dc9backed Yes	75c	101.33$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf06d…e407backed Yes	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	109	54.1%59 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2aba…04e7backed No	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	71c	95.4$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.84	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No	28c	91.85$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.77	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3145…fcf5backed Yes	75c	86.95$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.21	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	55cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No	25c	83.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.98	420	48.8%205 W · 215 L	+18.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64fd…7b28backed No	26c	83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.42	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	74c	83$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.83	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	25c	79.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.37	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Yes	75c	73.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Yes	75c	66.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	297	66.7%198 W · 99 L	+14.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	25c	64.78$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.58	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa135…68b8backed No	26c	62.4$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.18	322	45.3%146 W · 176 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No	25c	60$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3a…7f61backed Yes	76c	59.21$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	60cpaid	+50%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e8…100bbacked Yes	74c	54.05$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	43cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c3a…50aebacked Yes	75c	53.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea3c…eeabbacked Yes	77c	51.95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Yes	73c	50.4$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	209	42.6%89 W · 120 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Yes	23c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	282	51.4%145 W · 137 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…b613backed Yes	75c	46.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes	75c	46.67$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	272	39%106 W · 166 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No	30c	45.85$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.1	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f6…1a99backed No	26c	42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No	26c	42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	403	52.1%210 W · 193 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a7…bb13backed No	26c	42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	229	42.8%98 W · 131 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb3…ca8bbacked No	26c	42$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.08	255	49%125 W · 130 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked No	26c	41.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.07	257	48.6%125 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Yes	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	107	49.5%53 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd520…0c5fbacked Yes	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x203a…5792backed Yes	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes	71c	38.39$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.35	244	43%105 W · 139 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	56c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.68	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7f…cc9bbacked Yes	75c	37.2$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked No	39c	34.62$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	501	46.1%231 W · 270 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes	75c	33.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	261	51.7%135 W · 126 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x903d…84a1backed Yes	78c	32.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689d…b5babacked Yes	73c	29.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8686…9be8backed Yes	73c	27.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc037…3935backed Yes	74c	27.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	63cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a17…048ebacked Yes	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+160.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67f…3f61backed Yes	75c	26.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Germany to score first vs. Paraguay?this page
Germany vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?No won
Paraguay to score first vs. Germany?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Germany to score first vs. Paraguay?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event