Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay to score first vs. Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5977612375f216686dc8d7e4c63d9a6c2bd53bead00716ad60fc48ea7c5b8a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 4,716$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.9 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 2,686$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.76 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 2,551$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 21c | 1,960$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.39 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 10c | 1,395$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 1,364$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 80c | 1,262$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.6 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 1,118$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 10c | 999.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…1885backed Yes | 20c | 524.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.37 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed No | 13c | 324.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 56c | 267$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…3682backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 233.66$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.18 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked No | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 44c | 190.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 80c | 184$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 179.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 20c | 167.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 21c | 161$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…5460backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 19c | 143.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 20c | 125.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 20c | 121.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 21c | 109.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 25c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 61c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…8f23backed Yes | 21c | 78.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 70.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 77c | 59.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ba…8d27backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…bc97backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…8aacbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…f072backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 45c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 36.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 37c | 36.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 28.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 25.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay to score first vs. Germany?this page
- Germany to score first vs. Paraguay?No won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.