Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25904897960de3601ac480e574fca271c96008a3eb8ef473f5cc8754ba74c6e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,311$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed Yes | 8c | 651.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 10c | 417.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 11c | 417.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 339.91$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 7c | 318.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…f322backed Yes | 9c | 268.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 255 | 19.2%49 W · 206 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 8c | 265.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 7c | 241.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 5c | 222.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 17c | 218.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 42c | 204.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 203.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 22c | 199.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 14c | 197.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 31c | 159.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 77c | 136.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 39c | 114.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…8f04backed Yes | 15c | 113.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 13c | 113.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed Yes | 18c | 112.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 65c | 111.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 18c | 108.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 108$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 107.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 104.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…260dbacked Yes | 24c | 102.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 13c | 101.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked Yes | 13c | 98.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 62c | 93.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…d60fbacked Yes | 21c | 85.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 37c | 81.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 18c | 79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed No | 64c | 78.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 14c | 76.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 14c | 72.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 19c | 70.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 67c | 65.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e1…77debacked Yes | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 38c | 57.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 27c | 55.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 26c | 54.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 23c | 54.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 77c | 51.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked Yes | 31c | 51.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…f1f5backed Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f25…8f1dbacked Yes | 32c | 49.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 36c | 47.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 74c | 47.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed Yes | 29c | 45.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 75c | 37.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 36.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 61c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…abb2backed No | 61c | 31.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 38c | 31.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 63c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 41c | 24.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 62c | 24.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 76c | 22.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 67c | 22.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 66c | 21.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed No | 60c | 20.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 75c | 19.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…d0febacked No | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 73c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…603fbacked No | 58c | 17.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…c843backed No | 76c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.